指数

世界对哪些趋势的阅读和搜索比以往更多，哪些更少。关注度不等同于一股力量的强弱：一个趋势可能在无人注意时不断加深，而一次新闻事件可能令关注度上升两周左右。

飙升: 7%; 245个中的16个
上升: 12%; 245个中的29个
平稳: 33%; 245个中的81个
回落: 31%; 245个中的76个
消退: 18%; 245个中的43个

上升最多

趋势	三年	过去一年
开放权重人工智能模型		+340%
战略储备		+301%
自动化人工智能研究		+233%
人工智能数据中心建设		+115%
数据中心电力需求		+114%
混合战争		+112%
内容溯源		+110%
前沿人工智能集中		+89%
主权债券市场承压		+72%
人工智能编写软件		+69%

下降最多

趋势	三年	过去一年
稀土依赖		-80%
商业地产重新定价		-63%
官方统计公信力		-61%
勒索软件与网络敲诈		-60%
电信网络韧性		-56%
关税升级		-56%
稳定币与数字货币		-54%
出口管制		-53%
人工智能药物发现		-52%
加密资产主流化		-51%

按地区和二十国集团成员划分的关注度

每个趋势还在各地区和二十国集团成员内部分别跟踪，数据来自两个来源，两者都有时取平均值。Google搜索按国家逐一采集，共48个国家，每个趋势分别以英语和该国本国语言查询。Wikipedia阅读量按某地主要阅读的语言采集，因为没有公开来源按国家统计阅读量。每条走势线是在同一地区内将趋势与其自身的过去相比较，并不表明某个地区比另一个地区更为关注。各地区数据如何读取。

地区

地区	Google搜索所在国	Wikipedia阅读语言	可跟踪趋势数	过去一年上升最多
美洲北部	美国、加拿大	英语 49% · weak	250/250	自动化人工智能研究 +273% · 开放权重人工智能模型 +209% · 选举公正 +155%
欧洲	英国、法国、德国、意大利、西班牙、荷兰、波兰、瑞典、瑞士	德语 95%、法语 83%、意大利语 95%、波兰语 93%、荷兰语 89%、瑞典语 84% · strong	249/250	规避制裁 +1127% · 社会动荡 +220% · 混合战争 +205%
中国	中国	Wikipedia在中国大陆被屏蔽。中文阅读主要来自台湾、香港、新加坡及海外华语使用者。	44/250	人工智能问答引擎 +452% · 铁路与公共交通 +275% · 太阳能与风能扩张 +253%
印太	日本、韩国、印度尼西亚、澳大利亚、新加坡、台湾、越南、泰国、菲律宾、马来西亚、新西兰	日语 96%、中文 59%、韩语 86%、印度尼西亚语 87%、越南语、泰语 87%、马来语 72% · strong	247/250	自动化人工智能研究 +163% · 战略储备 +130% · 数字主权 +124%
南亚	印度、巴基斯坦、孟加拉国、斯里兰卡	印地语 88%、孟加拉语 49%、泰米尔语 77%、乌尔都语 · strong	230/250	制造业产能过剩 +1143% · 国防工业产能 +336% · 人工智能资本集中 +253%
海湾与中东	沙特阿拉伯、土耳其、阿拉伯联合酋长国、埃及、以色列、卡塔尔	波斯语、阿拉伯语、土耳其语、希伯来语 85% · 按语言	212/250	主权债务重组 +615% · 海底电缆与管道 +299% · 电网稳定与黑启动 +286%
非洲	南非、尼日利亚、肯尼亚、摩洛哥、埃塞俄比亚、加纳	南非荷兰语、斯瓦希里语 · 按语言	94/250	养老与照护成本 +3692% · 社会保障缺口 +965% · 政治暴力 +328%
拉丁美洲和加勒比	巴西、墨西哥、阿根廷、哥伦比亚、智利、秘鲁	西班牙语 55%、葡萄牙语 76% · fair	234/250	人工智能资本集中 +605% · 选举公正 +409% · 移民执法 +185%
俄罗斯与欧亚	乌克兰、哈萨克斯坦、乌兹别克斯坦	俄语、乌克兰语 73% · 按语言	211/250	燃料供应与炼化 +730% · 铁路与公共交通 +230% · 养老与照护成本 +228%

二十国集团成员

地区	Google搜索所在国	Wikipedia阅读语言	可跟踪趋势数	过去一年上升最多
阿根廷	在阿根廷进行的搜索	未采用：西班牙语也通行于墨西哥	95/250	行政权力扩张 +259% · 电网稳定与黑启动 +231% · 外国投资放缓 +174%
澳大利亚	在澳大利亚进行的搜索	未采用：英语也通行于加拿大、南非、英国、美国	169/250	混合战争 +2474% · 电动汽车普及 +304% · 燃料供应与炼化 +230%
巴西	在巴西进行的搜索	葡萄牙语 75% · strong	213/250	选举公正 +1586% · 人工智能资本集中 +605% · 社会保障缺口 +558%
加拿大	在加拿大进行的搜索	未采用：英语也通行于澳大利亚、南非、英国、美国	195/250	民主倒退 +498% · 混合战争 +459% · 选举公正 +375%
中国	在中国进行的搜索。Google在中国大陆被屏蔽，因此这条走势线仅反映少数能够访问它的用户。	Wikipedia在中国大陆被屏蔽。	44/250	人工智能问答引擎 +452% · 铁路与公共交通 +275% · 太阳能与风能扩张 +253%
法国	在法国进行的搜索	法语 71% · fair	238/250	社会动荡 +1057% · 战略储备 +387% · 国家网络入侵 +253%
德国	在德国进行的搜索	德语 77% · strong	243/250	规避制裁 +2115% · 社会动荡 +245% · 商业航天发射 +228%
印度	在印度进行的搜索	印地语 87%、孟加拉语 49%、泰米尔语 73% · strong	229/250	制造业产能过剩 +1143% · 现金使用减少 +278% · 人工智能资本集中 +253%
印度尼西亚	在印度尼西亚进行的搜索	印度尼西亚语 82% · strong	189/250	空气污染负担 +529% · 数字主权 +425% · 同盟负担转移 +327%
意大利	在意大利进行的搜索	意大利语 90% · strong	216/250	混合战争 +397% · 燃料供应与炼化 +240% · 新兴市场消费者 +211%
日本	在日本进行的搜索	日语 95% · strong	242/250	自动化人工智能研究 +427% · 错误信息与虚假信息 +290% · 多边主义式微 +211%
韩国	在韩国进行的搜索	韩语 82% · strong	208/250	新兴市场消费者 +411% · 人工智能编写软件 +192% · 侨汇依赖 +188%
墨西哥	在墨西哥进行的搜索	未采用：西班牙语也通行于阿根廷	143/250	生物特征识别 +496% · 游说与监管俘获 +234% · 电网稳定与黑启动 +203%
俄罗斯	数据供应商不向俄罗斯提供服务。	俄语 · 按语言	200/250	数字监控扩张 +191% · 自动化人工智能研究 +113% · 人工智能问答引擎 +109%
沙特阿拉伯	在沙特阿拉伯进行的搜索	未采用：阿拉伯语亦通行于	50/250	主权债务重组 +3292% · 恐怖主义与暴力极端主义 +1217% · 民防复兴 +1194%
南非	在南非进行的搜索	未采用：英语也通行于澳大利亚、加拿大、英国、美国	80/250	淡水短缺 +473% · 税收征管能力 +406% · 氢能与清洁燃料 +255%
土耳其	在土耳其进行的搜索	土耳其语 · 按语言	169/250	阴谋论与否定科学 +689% · 社会流动性下降 +431% · 财政空间收窄 +189%
英国	在英国进行的搜索	未采用：英语也通行于澳大利亚、加拿大、南非、美国	220/250	混合战争 +431% · 规避制裁 +279% · 宗教与族群民族主义 +233%
美国	在美国进行的搜索	英语 44% · weak	250/250	自动化人工智能研究 +273% · 开放权重人工智能模型 +195% · 选举公正 +148%

语言旁的百分比是该语言读者中位于此地的比例。标注“按语言”的语言按其使用地区归属，因为其大量阅读是通过其他国家的网络访问Wikipedia的。“可跟踪趋势数”是在此地搜索或阅读量足以跟踪的趋势数量（共250个趋势）。

Prototype · built 2026-11-07

What prediction markets expect of the 250 trends: for each, the market-implied chance that the force strengthens, how that chance is moving, and how much money is trading on it. Built from 2,326 questions on Polymarket, Kalshi and Manifold, mapped to the trends by three judges working blind; 189 of the 250 have a question and 103 have a reading this week (two or more live questions). Separate from the attention index, which looks back at what people read and searched.

The 250 trends of the 2027 list

250 shown. Click a column to sort; a dash means no reading (fewer than two live questions, or none mapped).

#
1	AI for science	Critical Technology	AI, compute & automation	7	17	80%	+5.0	+30.8	+42.6	40	34%	82	75
2	Open-weight AI models	Critical Technology	AI, compute & automation	4	48	80%	-28.4	+14.4	-13.9	65	51%	85	74
3	Economic coercion	Trade & Investment	Trade, supply chains & industrial policy	3	14	77%	-31.6	+7.4	—	239	71%	88	64
4	Stretched asset valuations	Financial Strength	Housing, wealth & cost of living	23	46	77%	-2.5	+4.8	+29.6	1,044	74%	64	72
5	Solar & wind expansion	Strategic Infrastructure	Energy transition & power systems	3	7	76%	+19.6	+8.1	+23.1	2	49%	94	79
6	Strategic stockpiles	Strategic Infrastructure	Trade, supply chains & industrial policy	5	16	73%	+38.2	—	—	127	26%	75	55
7	AI data centre build-out	Critical Technology	AI, compute & automation	34	46	73%	+14.4	+17.1	+12.7	16,399	69%	86	78
8	Geoeconomic fragmentation	Trade & Investment	Trade, supply chains & industrial policy	17	41	70%	+8.4	-9.9	+14.4	2,271	55%	89	83
9	Gene & cell therapies	Critical Technology	Health, biotech & humanitarian need	3	7	68%	-3.1	+25.5	+39.7	1	100%	72	56
10	AI chip supply	Critical Technology	AI, compute & automation	2	5	68%	+21.8	+38.9	—	3	80%	88	84
11	Cost of living squeeze	Financial Strength	Housing, wealth & cost of living	3	6	66%	+14.9	+14.3	—	13	100%	82	64
12	Agricultural productivity	Production & Innovation	Climate, water & land	5	6	63%	+12.0	—	—	228	100%	82	66
13	Ransomware & cyber extortion	National Security	Public finance, money & integrity	2	4	61%	—	+27.9	—	10	100%	91	60
14	Deindustrialisation pressure	Production & Innovation	Trade, supply chains & industrial policy	2	2	59%	+8.0	—	—	26	—	82	63
15	AI capital concentration	Financial Strength	AI, compute & automation	31	44	58%	-7.9	+1.8	+9.3	3,995	81%	85	68
16	Inflation persistence	Financial Strength	Public finance, money & integrity	77	134	57%	+3.9	+8.4	+45.8	28,322	39%	72	69
17	mRNA vaccine platforms	Critical Technology	Health, biotech & humanitarian need	9	15	57%	-3.8	-35.6	—	677	22%	72	58
18	Migration restriction	Human Capital	Demography, health systems & work	3	9	54%	-12.7	-12.8	-32.8	5	46%	85	66
19	Nuclear proliferation	National Security	Geopolitics, defence & deterrence	15	41	54%	+2.1	+10.0	+26.9	3,922	50%	56	79
20	Democratic backsliding	Governance & Integrity	Democracy, media & trust	7	16	53%	-1.9	-3.8	+11.3	111	55%	84	76
21	Household debt	Financial Strength	Housing, wealth & cost of living	3	7	51%	+17.2	+17.7	—	100	50%	83	56
22	Remittance dependence	Financial Strength	Public finance, money & integrity	2	2	51%	-3.1	—	—	3	—	90	52
23	Manufacturing reshoring	Production & Innovation	Trade, supply chains & industrial policy	7	7	50%	+7.8	+15.8	+7.8	127	—	72	60
24	Transnational organised crime	National Security	Public finance, money & integrity	6	6	49%	+0.4	-3.2	-9.5	83	—	87	62
25	Persistent armed conflict	National Security	Geopolitics, defence & deterrence	23	150	48%	+2.2	+4.7	+8.1	2,013	48%	86	78
26	Stablecoins & digital currencies	Financial Strength	Public finance, money & integrity	7	13	46%	-4.5	-16.2	+10.6	113	30%	82	61
27	Contested maritime access	National Security	Energy, food & commodity dependence	16	40	45%	+4.8	+31.6	+62.5	1,764	38%	85	70
28	Economic security policy	Trade & Investment	Trade, supply chains & industrial policy	11	19	45%	+2.3	+11.1	—	493	56%	90	66
29	Critical minerals supply	Trade & Investment	Trade, supply chains & industrial policy	4	17	45%	-19.5	—	—	213	57%	90	78
30	Export controls	Trade & Investment	Trade, supply chains & industrial policy	9	12	43%	-6.9	-5.1	—	347	35%	91	72
31	Industrial policy revival	Production & Innovation	Trade, supply chains & industrial policy	7	10	42%	+3.6	+6.2	-17.6	39	0%	87	72
32	Coal power persistence	Strategic Infrastructure	Energy transition & power systems	3	5	42%	+0.8	—	—	139	100%	80	60
33	Humanoid robots	Critical Technology	AI, compute & automation	14	28	41%	+3.2	+0.2	-12.7	559	7%	57	68
34	Construction productivity	Production & Innovation	Housing, wealth & cost of living	4	9	40%	-13.2	+3.4	—	40	40%	84	58
35	Electric vehicle adoption	Strategic Infrastructure	Energy transition & power systems	4	11	39%	-0.1	+3.4	-18.3	5	44%	89	70
36	Commercial property repricing	Financial Strength	Housing, wealth & cost of living	3	6	38%	+7.7	—	—	27	100%	78	48
37	Climate change & physical risk	Strategic Infrastructure	Climate, water & land	3	18	38%	-0.7	—	+4.9	1	11%	97	91
38	Fertility decline	Human Capital	Demography, health systems & work	6	14	38%	+3.7	+9.0	+12.8	50	47%	97	83
39	Fusion energy	Critical Technology	Energy transition & power systems	9	26	36%	+0.9	-0.8	+6.8	10	0%	32	52
40	Global South coalitions	Information & Influence	Geopolitics, defence & deterrence	3	9	36%	-0.2	-5.7	-31.3	61	34%	70	54
41	Housing affordability	Financial Strength	Housing, wealth & cost of living	16	30	36%	+14.5	+18.8	+6.7	620	36%	90	66
42	Autonomous vehicles	Production & Innovation	AI, compute & automation	6	27	35%	-1.2	+0.9	+0.1	22	19%	73	55
43	Child online safety	Information & Influence	Democracy, media & trust	9	11	34%	+2.5	-8.1	—	14	45%	85	45
44	Deepfakes & synthetic media	Information & Influence	Democracy, media & trust	7	48	34%	-2.8	-7.0	-30.0	3	34%	94	61
45	Sovereign debt burden	Financial Strength	Public finance, money & integrity	39	47	33%	-23.1	+2.0	+1.4	1,306	57%	94	81
46	Tariff escalation	Trade & Investment	Trade, supply chains & industrial policy	25	77	33%	-10.5	-0.7	-22.0	1,059	50%	85	75
47	Frontier AI capability	Critical Technology	AI, compute & automation	19	65	32%	+1.7	+5.2	+1.5	273	69%	88	93
48	Asset tokenisation	Financial Strength	Public finance, money & integrity	9	9	32%	-26.4	—	—	142	0%	71	47
49	Healthy life expectancy	Human Capital	Demography, health systems & work	3	5	31%	+0.8	+1.1	+4.1	1	—	84	58
50	Commodity price volatility	Trade & Investment	Energy, food & commodity dependence	28	91	30%	+6.4	+44.2	+3.0	5,904	52%	90	59
51	Sovereign bond market strain	Financial Strength	Public finance, money & integrity	61	76	29%	-22.3	+21.6	+11.2	2,455	30%	79	71
52	Executive overreach	Governance & Integrity	Democracy, media & trust	17	54	28%	-18.7	-22.3	-28.2	13,967	37%	83	63
53	Market concentration	Production & Innovation	AI, compute & automation	4	13	28%	-2.1	-7.0	-45.3	124	31%	86	63
54	Platform regulation	Information & Influence	Democracy, media & trust	6	27	27%	+0.5	-6.6	-23.5	5	58%	82	54
55	Wealth concentration	Financial Strength	Housing, wealth & cost of living	9	12	27%	-19.3	-22.9	-8.0	9,705	52%	87	60
56	LNG trade expansion	Trade & Investment	Energy, food & commodity dependence	2	2	26%	-9.4	-24.9	—	9	—	92	59
57	Data centre power demand	Strategic Infrastructure	AI, compute & automation	35	47	26%	+0.5	-10.6	+41.2	25,959	87%	87	62
58	Weakening multilateralism	Information & Influence	Geopolitics, defence & deterrence	8	13	24%	+1.6	-3.7	-7.4	116	27%	86	75
59	Populist politics	Governance & Integrity	Democracy, media & trust	9	22	24%	-6.1	+1.8	+24.1	7,413	79%	81	70
60	Gold reserve accumulation	Financial Strength	Public finance, money & integrity	21	37	21%	-16.2	-19.7	—	1,735	17%	86	47
61	Fiscal rules & credibility	Governance & Integrity	Public finance, money & integrity	14	75	20%	-2.1	-15.7	-40.0	154	40%	84	64
62	Skilled talent migration	Human Capital	Demography, health systems & work	2	3	19%	+0.2	-3.4	-0.4	2	—	88	62
63	Election integrity	Information & Influence	Democracy, media & trust	25	44	18%	-5.5	-1.1	-3.5	3,243	12%	82	67
64	AI agents	Critical Technology	AI, compute & automation	10	25	17%	-27.4	-25.2	-11.9	78	22%	81	82
65	Grid expansion bottlenecks	Strategic Infrastructure	Energy transition & power systems	2	2	17%	-4.6	—	—	418	—	89	75
66	Civil unrest	Governance & Integrity	Democracy, media & trust	3	25	17%	-11.9	—	-17.7	7,881	30%	85	58
67	AI job displacement	Human Capital	AI, compute & automation	12	24	17%	-2.9	-18.5	-16.4	48	0%	76	84
68	Political polarisation	Governance & Integrity	Democracy, media & trust	21	92	17%	-0.3	-7.7	-34.4	410	30%	87	70
69	Regional medicines manufacturing	Production & Innovation	Trade, supply chains & industrial policy	2	2	16%	-3.5	—	—	50	—	66	46
70	Great-power competition	National Security	Geopolitics, defence & deterrence	10	31	15%	-1.4	-3.4	-7.2	594	11%	93	91
71	Small modular reactors	Critical Technology	Energy transition & power systems	4	5	14%	-3.5	-10.8	-10.5	132	0%	58	57
72	AI regulation & safety	Governance & Integrity	AI, compute & automation	22	50	14%	+1.5	-11.1	-25.4	238	41%	76	64
73	Commercial space launch	Critical Technology	Cyber, space & critical networks	11	31	14%	-2.9	-13.4	-59.8	711	54%	87	60
74	Political violence	Governance & Integrity	Democracy, media & trust	3	32	13%	+0.7	-6.8	+41.4	36	35%	78	52
75	Shrinking fiscal space	Financial Strength	Public finance, money & integrity	46	89	13%	-1.6	-9.3	-20.4	2,129	28%	89	78
76	Rule of law	Governance & Integrity	Democracy, media & trust	6	12	13%	-4.1	-3.0	-12.8	205	13%	81	71
77	Pension & care costs	Financial Strength	Demography, health systems & work	3	4	13%	+2.9	+4.9	—	1	—	97	80
78	Fertiliser dependence	Trade & Investment	Energy, food & commodity dependence	2	2	13%	-0.1	-22.9	—	7	—	88	61
79	Social protection gaps	Governance & Integrity	Public finance, money & integrity	3	10	12%	-1.8	-4.7	-30.4	44	0%	83	60
80	Trade deals & regional agreements	Trade & Investment	Trade, supply chains & industrial policy	8	14	12%	-3.8	-16.6	-47.2	272	38%	81	57
81	Middle-power multi-alignment	Information & Influence	Geopolitics, defence & deterrence	12	17	12%	-1.8	-8.0	-21.8	751	11%	87	63
82	Automated AI research	Critical Technology	AI, compute & automation	8	13	11%	-4.0	-3.8	-8.7	44	0%	57	80
83	Undersea cables & pipelines	Strategic Infrastructure	Cyber, space & critical networks	2	5	11%	+44.6	+60.6	—	1,125	39%	90	66
84	Drone warfare	National Security	Geopolitics, defence & deterrence	3	9	11%	-1.3	-2.1	-6.8	14	21%	94	77
85	State cyber intrusion	National Security	Cyber, space & critical networks	2	10	11%	+0.3	+14.3	+6.0	8	29%	92	76
86	Hybrid warfare	National Security	Cyber, space & critical networks	4	9	10%	—	—	—	640	30%	89	65
87	Infectious disease threats	Human Capital	Health, biotech & humanitarian need	5	11	10%	-3.9	-4.3	—	1,279	13%	87	71
88	Fuel supply & refining	Strategic Infrastructure	Energy, food & commodity dependence	5	7	10%	-3.6	—	—	2,917	0%	82	57
89	Post-quantum cryptography	Critical Technology	Cyber, space & critical networks	4	9	9%	+0.3	+0.8	-13.1	19	0%	84	64
90	Central bank independence	Governance & Integrity	Public finance, money & integrity	10	13	9%	-2.9	-7.0	-5.1	89	0%	74	71
91	Lunar exploration race	Critical Technology	Cyber, space & critical networks	13	43	9%	-0.8	-0.8	+3.9	1,270	32%	74	40
92	Alliance burden-shifting	National Security	Geopolitics, defence & deterrence	6	20	9%	-0.3	-7.8	-7.4	73	58%	83	76
93	Quantum computing	Critical Technology	Cyber, space & critical networks	5	12	8%	-1.2	-0.5	-17.5	29	0%	52	62
94	Arms control erosion	National Security	Geopolitics, defence & deterrence	7	59	8%	-0.1	-0.9	+4.1	299	17%	88	64
95	Crypto-asset mainstreaming	Financial Strength	Public finance, money & integrity	10	32	8%	-1.4	-9.7	-30.9	294	64%	77	45
96	Nuclear arms race	National Security	Geopolitics, defence & deterrence	5	57	8%	-0.1	-0.2	+1.6	18	15%	86	71
97	Sovereign wealth funds	Trade & Investment	Trade, supply chains & industrial policy	3	4	7%	-3.3	-8.0	-10.0	23	0%	87	56
98	Weight-loss drugs	Production & Innovation	Demography, health systems & work	3	8	7%	-3.3	-3.8	-49.9	502	36%	89	59
99	Immigration enforcement	Governance & Integrity	Democracy, media & trust	7	22	6%	-0.1	-7.8	-33.7	158	67%	84	55
100	Conscription revival	National Security	Geopolitics, defence & deterrence	3	8	6%	-1.5	-2.1	—	492	47%	73	50
101	Population ageing	Human Capital	Demography, health systems & work	6	7	6%	-0.4	—	-15.7	1	—	99	90
102	Trade corridor competition	Trade & Investment	Geopolitics, defence & deterrence	2	3	5%	-0.1	-1.8	—	62	0%	82	55
103	Energy import dependence	Trade & Investment	Energy, food & commodity dependence	4	8	3%	-3.4	-1.5	-6.9	66	13%	87	68
104	Digital sovereignty	Critical Technology	AI, compute & automation	1	2	—	—	—	—	0	—	81	63
105	Advanced semiconductors	Critical Technology	Trade, supply chains & industrial policy	0	1	—	—	—	—	0	—	91	74
106	Synthetic biology	Critical Technology	Health, biotech & humanitarian need	0	1	—	—	—	—	0	—	72	63
107	Quantum sensing	Critical Technology	Cyber, space & critical networks	0	0	—	—	—	—	0	—	64	48
108	Cloud concentration risk	Critical Technology	AI, compute & automation	0	1	—	—	—	—	0	—	90	65
109	Frontier AI concentration	Critical Technology	AI, compute & automation	1	6	—	—	—	—	0	76%	80	74
110	Chipmaking tool chokepoints	Critical Technology	Trade, supply chains & industrial policy	1	3	—	—	—	—	0	100%	90	74
111	Orbital debris	Critical Technology	Cyber, space & critical networks	0	1	—	—	—	—	0	—	84	48
112	Precision medicine	Critical Technology	Health, biotech & humanitarian need	1	2	—	—	—	—	1	100%	79	55
113	Advanced materials	Critical Technology	Energy transition & power systems	0	1	—	—	—	—	0	0%	76	55
114	Brain-computer interfaces	Critical Technology	Democracy, media & trust	1	6	—	—	—	—	1	67%	54	36
115	AI inference efficiency	Critical Technology	AI, compute & automation	0	3	—	—	—	—	0	58%	90	68
116	Earth observation	Critical Technology	Climate, water & land	0	0	—	—	—	—	0	—	89	59
117	Biometric identification	Critical Technology	Democracy, media & trust	0	1	—	—	—	—	0	—	88	52
118	Biodiversity loss	Strategic Infrastructure	Climate, water & land	0	0	—	—	—	—	0	—	92	61
119	Electrification of heat & industry	Strategic Infrastructure	Energy transition & power systems	0	1	—	—	—	—	0	0%	77	64
120	Urbanisation & megacities	Strategic Infrastructure	Housing, wealth & cost of living	0	0	—	—	—	—	0	—	95	70
121	Soil degradation	Strategic Infrastructure	Climate, water & land	0	0	—	—	—	—	0	—	87	57
122	Transboundary water disputes	Strategic Infrastructure	Climate, water & land	1	1	—	—	—	—	1	—	77	54
123	Climate adaptation	Strategic Infrastructure	Climate, water & land	0	0	—	—	—	—	0	—	82	65
124	Freshwater scarcity	Strategic Infrastructure	Climate, water & land	1	1	—	—	—	—	1	—	92	72
125	Grid-scale storage	Strategic Infrastructure	Energy transition & power systems	0	0	—	—	—	—	0	—	91	69
126	Satellite navigation dependence	Strategic Infrastructure	Cyber, space & critical networks	0	0	—	—	—	—	0	—	91	63
127	5G & 6G networks	Strategic Infrastructure	Cyber, space & critical networks	0	0	—	—	—	—	0	—	86	54
128	Urban heat & cooling	Strategic Infrastructure	Climate, water & land	0	0	—	—	—	—	0	—	91	58
129	Ageing infrastructure	Strategic Infrastructure	Climate, water & land	0	1	—	—	—	—	0	100%	91	65
130	Satellite broadband	Strategic Infrastructure	Cyber, space & critical networks	0	1	—	—	—	—	0	100%	91	62
131	Sea level rise	Strategic Infrastructure	Climate, water & land	0	0	—	—	—	—	0	—	96	70
132	Distributed power	Strategic Infrastructure	Energy transition & power systems	0	1	—	—	—	—	0	0%	86	57
133	Early warning systems	Strategic Infrastructure	Climate, water & land	0	0	—	—	—	—	0	—	79	51
134	Grid stability & black start	Strategic Infrastructure	Energy transition & power systems	0	3	—	—	—	—	0	0%	81	64
135	Energy access gaps	Strategic Infrastructure	Energy transition & power systems	0	0	—	—	—	—	0	—	81	58
136	Telecom network resilience	Strategic Infrastructure	Cyber, space & critical networks	0	1	—	—	—	—	34	100%	82	57
137	Flood defence & dam safety	Strategic Infrastructure	Climate, water & land	0	0	—	—	—	—	0	—	84	55
138	Rail & mass transit	Strategic Infrastructure	Housing, wealth & cost of living	1	2	—	—	—	—	45	—	79	49
139	Rearmament & defence spending	National Security	Geopolitics, defence & deterrence	0	0	—	—	—	—	0	—	90	74
140	Biosecurity & dual-use biology	National Security	Health, biotech & humanitarian need	1	1	—	—	—	—	1	—	73	66
141	Arctic competition	National Security	Energy, food & commodity dependence	1	4	—	—	—	—	1	0%	81	45
142	Defence industrial capacity	National Security	Trade, supply chains & industrial policy	0	0	—	—	—	—	0	—	86	69
143	Military AI & autonomous weapons	National Security	AI, compute & automation	0	2	—	—	—	—	0	70%	87	72
144	Space militarisation	National Security	Cyber, space & critical networks	0	4	—	—	—	—	0	19%	88	63
145	Critical infrastructure protection	National Security	Cyber, space & critical networks	1	2	—	—	—	—	10	0%	89	67
146	Civil defence revival	National Security	Geopolitics, defence & deterrence	0	0	—	—	—	—	0	—	73	51
147	Online scam industry	National Security	Public finance, money & integrity	0	0	—	—	—	—	0	—	87	51
148	Missile proliferation & defence	National Security	Geopolitics, defence & deterrence	1	14	—	—	—	—	9	43%	89	70
149	Private military & proxy forces	National Security	Geopolitics, defence & deterrence	0	5	—	—	—	—	0	51%	83	53
150	Terrorism & violent extremism	National Security	Democracy, media & trust	1	8	—	—	—	—	0	0%	85	51
151	Espionage & counterintelligence	National Security	Cyber, space & critical networks	1	2	—	—	—	—	2	0%	91	57
152	Undersea warfare	National Security	Cyber, space & critical networks	0	1	—	—	—	—	0	100%	84	55
153	Workforce reskilling	Human Capital	AI, compute & automation	0	0	—	—	—	—	0	—	76	60
154	Social mobility decline	Human Capital	Housing, wealth & cost of living	1	1	—	—	—	—	0	—	82	62
155	Foundational learning deficits	Human Capital	AI, compute & automation	1	1	—	—	—	—	16	—	87	69
156	Chronic disease burden	Human Capital	Demography, health systems & work	0	2	—	—	—	—	0	—	92	71
157	Climate migration	Human Capital	Climate, water & land	0	0	—	—	—	—	0	—	85	62
158	Skilled labour shortages	Human Capital	Demography, health systems & work	0	0	—	—	—	—	0	—	89	67
159	Youth bulge	Human Capital	Public finance, money & integrity	0	0	—	—	—	—	0	—	96	70
160	Women's workforce participation	Human Capital	Demography, health systems & work	0	0	—	—	—	—	0	—	75	60
161	Air pollution burden	Human Capital	Energy transition & power systems	0	0	—	—	—	—	0	—	87	58
162	Informal employment	Human Capital	Public finance, money & integrity	0	0	—	—	—	—	0	—	89	60
163	Maternal & child health	Human Capital	Health, biotech & humanitarian need	0	1	—	—	—	—	0	0%	76	52
164	Youth unemployment	Human Capital	Public finance, money & integrity	1	1	—	—	—	—	13	—	85	63
165	Antimicrobial resistance	Human Capital	Health, biotech & humanitarian need	0	0	—	—	—	—	0	—	90	68
166	Forced displacement	Human Capital	Health, biotech & humanitarian need	0	3	—	—	—	—	0	0%	90	61
167	Care economy strain	Human Capital	Demography, health systems & work	0	0	—	—	—	—	0	—	93	65
168	Health system strain	Human Capital	Demography, health systems & work	1	1	—	—	—	—	47	0%	93	70
169	Mental ill-health	Human Capital	Democracy, media & trust	0	0	—	—	—	—	0	—	86	59
170	Child malnutrition	Human Capital	Health, biotech & humanitarian need	0	0	—	—	—	—	0	—	82	55
171	Loneliness & isolation	Human Capital	Democracy, media & trust	0	0	—	—	—	—	0	—	80	44
172	Drug overdose crisis	Human Capital	Public finance, money & integrity	0	0	—	—	—	—	0	—	73	45
173	Health workforce shortage	Human Capital	Demography, health systems & work	0	0	—	—	—	—	0	—	92	66
174	Misinformation & disinformation	Information & Influence	Democracy, media & trust	0	3	—	—	—	—	0	30%	90	67
175	Foreign information manipulation	Information & Influence	Democracy, media & trust	0	1	—	—	—	—	0	100%	90	60
176	Institutional trust decline	Information & Influence	Democracy, media & trust	0	1	—	—	—	—	0	0%	85	71
177	Technical standards competition	Information & Influence	Cyber, space & critical networks	0	0	—	—	—	—	0	—	85	58
178	Content provenance	Information & Influence	Democracy, media & trust	0	2	—	—	—	—	0	59%	64	45
179	Research security	Information & Influence	Demography, health systems & work	1	2	—	—	—	—	4	100%	85	59
180	Digital surveillance expansion	Information & Influence	Democracy, media & trust	0	3	—	—	—	—	0	100%	91	63
181	Independent journalism decline	Information & Influence	Democracy, media & trust	0	0	—	—	—	—	0	—	88	57
182	Internet censorship & shutdowns	Information & Influence	Democracy, media & trust	1	7	—	—	—	—	725	8%	86	55
183	Development finance as influence	Information & Influence	Geopolitics, defence & deterrence	1	3	—	—	—	—	3	0%	85	60
184	AI answer engines	Information & Influence	Democracy, media & trust	1	25	—	—	—	—	1	24%	90	66
185	Conspiracy & science denial	Information & Influence	Democracy, media & trust	0	0	—	—	—	—	0	—	81	57
186	Platform power	Information & Influence	Democracy, media & trust	0	1	—	—	—	—	0	0%	89	68
187	News influencers	Information & Influence	Democracy, media & trust	0	3	—	—	—	—	0	100%	90	48
188	Audience fragmentation	Information & Influence	Democracy, media & trust	0	1	—	—	—	—	0	100%	91	51
189	Commercial spyware	Information & Influence	Democracy, media & trust	0	0	—	—	—	—	0	—	85	42
190	AI companions	Information & Influence	Democracy, media & trust	0	0	—	—	—	—	0	—	84	42
191	International student flows	Information & Influence	Demography, health systems & work	0	1	—	—	—	—	0	100%	86	48
192	Religious & ethnic nationalism	Information & Influence	Democracy, media & trust	0	1	—	—	—	—	0	—	84	62
193	Humanitarian system strain	Information & Influence	Health, biotech & humanitarian need	1	6	—	—	—	—	3	35%	90	57
194	State capacity	Governance & Integrity	Public finance, money & integrity	0	11	—	—	—	—	0	70%	85	77
195	Carbon pricing	Governance & Integrity	Energy transition & power systems	1	4	—	—	—	—	0	64%	73	56
196	Corruption & state capture	Governance & Integrity	Public finance, money & integrity	0	0	—	—	—	—	0	—	89	68
197	Data protection	Governance & Integrity	Democracy, media & trust	0	3	—	—	—	—	0	25%	83	50
198	Digital public infrastructure	Governance & Integrity	Public finance, money & integrity	0	1	—	—	—	—	0	0%	85	64
199	Government AI adoption	Governance & Integrity	AI, compute & automation	0	0	—	—	—	—	0	—	84	67
200	Illicit finance	Governance & Integrity	Public finance, money & integrity	0	0	—	—	—	—	0	—	85	56
201	Lobbying & regulatory capture	Governance & Integrity	Housing, wealth & cost of living	1	2	—	—	—	—	9	0%	83	56
202	Local government strain	Governance & Integrity	Housing, wealth & cost of living	0	0	—	—	—	—	0	—	85	53
203	Deregulation drive	Governance & Integrity	Housing, wealth & cost of living	1	6	—	—	—	—	31	80%	77	56
204	Military rule resurgence	Governance & Integrity	Democracy, media & trust	1	8	—	—	—	—	32	25%	72	48
205	Tax administration capacity	Governance & Integrity	Public finance, money & integrity	0	0	—	—	—	—	0	—	83	61
206	Deliberative democracy	Governance & Integrity	Democracy, media & trust	0	0	—	—	—	—	0	—	58	34
207	Outsourced public delivery	Governance & Integrity	Public finance, money & integrity	0	0	—	—	—	—	0	—	85	51
208	Official statistics integrity	Governance & Integrity	Public finance, money & integrity	0	2	—	—	—	—	0	52%	78	55
209	De-dollarisation pressure	Financial Strength	Public finance, money & integrity	1	7	—	—	—	—	21	0%	75	69
210	Aid & climate finance retreat	Financial Strength	Health, biotech & humanitarian need	1	3	—	—	—	—	5	0%	89	62
211	Private credit growth	Financial Strength	Housing, wealth & cost of living	0	0	—	—	—	—	0	—	84	55
212	Sustainable finance retreat	Financial Strength	Energy transition & power systems	0	0	—	—	—	—	0	—	77	47
213	Capital flow volatility	Financial Strength	Public finance, money & integrity	1	1	—	—	—	—	1	—	87	60
214	Sovereign debt restructuring	Financial Strength	Public finance, money & integrity	0	0	—	—	—	—	0	—	82	54
215	Decline of cash	Financial Strength	Public finance, money & integrity	0	2	—	—	—	—	0	0%	93	51
216	Financial inclusion	Financial Strength	Public finance, money & integrity	0	0	—	—	—	—	0	—	85	53
217	Disaster risk finance	Financial Strength	Climate, water & land	0	0	—	—	—	—	0	—	75	45
218	Insurance retreat	Financial Strength	Climate, water & land	0	4	—	—	—	—	0	0%	88	61
219	Enterprise AI adoption	Production & Innovation	AI, compute & automation	0	13	—	—	—	—	50	17%	84	75
220	Manufacturing overcapacity	Production & Innovation	Trade, supply chains & industrial policy	0	1	—	—	—	—	0	100%	86	68
221	Factory automation	Production & Innovation	AI, compute & automation	1	3	—	—	—	—	7	0%	91	65
222	Battery manufacturing	Production & Innovation	Energy transition & power systems	0	2	—	—	—	—	0	—	93	71
223	Solar manufacturing	Production & Innovation	Trade, supply chains & industrial policy	0	2	—	—	—	—	0	0%	93	64
224	Alternative proteins	Production & Innovation	Health, biotech & humanitarian need	0	13	—	—	—	—	0	14%	49	37
225	R&D intensity	Production & Innovation	AI, compute & automation	1	3	—	—	—	—	2	0%	80	64
226	Deep-sea mining	Production & Innovation	Energy transition & power systems	0	0	—	—	—	—	0	—	50	39
227	Productivity slowdown	Production & Innovation	AI, compute & automation	0	0	—	—	—	—	0	—	78	76
228	Business dynamism	Production & Innovation	AI, compute & automation	0	1	—	—	—	—	0	0%	77	55
229	AI-written software	Production & Innovation	AI, compute & automation	1	20	—	—	—	—	1	24%	92	69
230	Carbon capture & removal	Production & Innovation	Energy transition & power systems	0	1	—	—	—	—	0	—	58	46
231	Hydrogen & clean fuels	Production & Innovation	Energy, food & commodity dependence	0	0	—	—	—	—	0	—	53	51
232	AI drug discovery	Production & Innovation	Health, biotech & humanitarian need	0	3	—	—	—	—	0	57%	74	60
233	Circular economy	Production & Innovation	Trade, supply chains & industrial policy	0	0	—	—	—	—	0	—	73	49
234	Ultra-processed food backlash	Production & Innovation	Demography, health systems & work	0	0	—	—	—	—	0	—	71	43
235	Drug pricing pressure	Production & Innovation	Trade, supply chains & industrial policy	0	0	—	—	—	—	0	—	85	50
236	Aquaculture growth	Production & Innovation	Climate, water & land	0	0	—	—	—	—	0	—	89	46
237	Supply chain resilience	Trade & Investment	Trade, supply chains & industrial policy	0	1	—	—	—	—	0	0%	78	59
238	Grain trade concentration	Trade & Investment	Energy, food & commodity dependence	0	1	—	—	—	—	0	100%	89	63
239	Shifting economic weight	Trade & Investment	Geopolitics, defence & deterrence	0	2	—	—	—	—	0	100%	93	78
240	Rare earth dependence	Trade & Investment	Trade, supply chains & industrial policy	0	2	—	—	—	—	0	0%	90	69
241	Nuclear fuel supply	Trade & Investment	Energy transition & power systems	0	0	—	—	—	—	0	—	83	50
242	Port & carrier concentration	Trade & Investment	Trade, supply chains & industrial policy	1	4	—	—	—	—	0	22%	88	53
243	Transshipment & origin rules	Trade & Investment	Trade, supply chains & industrial policy	0	0	—	—	—	—	0	—	84	47
244	Sanctions circumvention	Trade & Investment	Trade, supply chains & industrial policy	0	1	—	—	—	—	0	100%	89	55
245	Non-tariff barriers	Trade & Investment	Trade, supply chains & industrial policy	0	0	—	—	—	—	0	—	86	52
246	Carbon border adjustments	Trade & Investment	Energy transition & power systems	0	0	—	—	—	—	0	—	77	52
247	Foreign investment slowdown	Trade & Investment	Trade, supply chains & industrial policy	1	2	—	—	—	—	1	0%	83	60
248	Supplier concentration	Trade & Investment	Trade, supply chains & industrial policy	0	0	—	—	—	—	0	—	90	67
249	Emerging-market consumers	Trade & Investment	Geopolitics, defence & deterrence	0	1	—	—	—	—	0	0%	86	66
250	Pharmaceutical input concentration	Trade & Investment	Trade, supply chains & industrial policy	1	1	—	—	—	—	0	0%	90	57

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Top 25 trends by expectation

The 250 trends of the 2027 list