Attention Share over time
GINC's attention score, worldwide and in each region: 100 is this trend's own three-year average in each place, as an 8-week average.
Regional Attention
By region
This trend’s share of all the attention the 250 trends draw in each region, and its rank there.
0.07%
2140.06%
2260.04%
2240.04%
2250.02%
2210.02%
2470.02%
2420.01%
2300.00%
2410.00%
2490.00%
250By country
This trend’s share of all the attention the 250 trends draw in each country, and its rank there: the 12 highest of 48.
0.23%
650.12%
720.08%
1960.07%
1400.06%
1840.06%
1750.05%
1670.05%
1540.04%
1730.03%
2340.03%
2330.03%
170Similar Trends
The ten trends most like this one: each one's share of attention over the period chosen, largest first, and over three years.
2.7%
0.33%
0.23%
0.22%
0.20%
0.14%
0.14%
0.12%
0.11%
0.06%
Scenario Relevance
A trend is relevant to a GINC Scenario where it changes how likely the scenario is, how hard it lands, or is itself sharply changed by it. Each trend is graded against every scenario on a seven-point scale from Nil to Critical.
Downside scenarios
| Scenario | Relevance |
|---|---|
S10 A novel respiratory pathogen exceeds health surge capacity Health | Critical |
S07 A major disaster disables the national economic core Energy, climate and resources | Low |
S02 A global funding seizure reaches sovereign balance sheets Economic and trade | Very low |
S08 An AI deployment step causes abrupt labour displacement Technology and infrastructure | Very low |
S01 Critical trade divides into rival blocs Economic and trade | Nil |
S03 A regional war closes a globally important sea route Geopolitical and security | Nil |
S04 Hybrid coercion ends in an infrastructure blackout Geopolitical and security | Nil |
S05 A disputed transfer of power breaks effective government Geopolitical and security | Nil |
S06 Two breadbasket failures trigger a food availability crisis Energy, climate and resources | Nil |
S09 A cryptographic breakthrough invalidates digital trust Technology and infrastructure | Nil |
Upside scenarios
| Scenario | Relevance |
|---|---|
S19 Affordable preventive treatments reduce chronic illness Health | Moderate |
S20 A live outbreak proves rapid distributed pandemic defence Health | Moderate |
S11 A creditor agreement releases fiscal capacity Economic and trade | Low |
S12 A cross-regional market access compact redirects investment Economic and trade | Low |
S14 A verified Middle East settlement restores access Geopolitical and security | Very low |
S13 A great-power agreement lowers economic security barriers Geopolitical and security | Nil |
S15 Cheap firm clean power becomes available at scale Energy, climate and resources | Nil |
S16 A validated farming package raises water-efficient output Energy, climate and resources | Nil |
S17 AI-directed research produces a reproducible discovery step Technology and infrastructure | Nil |
S18 A public service platform reaches inclusive operation Technology and infrastructure | Nil |