Attention Share over time
GINC's attention score, worldwide and in each region: 100 is this trend's own three-year average in each place, as an 8-week average.
Regional Attention
By region
This trend’s share of all the attention the 250 trends draw in each region, and its rank there.
0.55%
370.12%
1820.05%
2360.03%
2320.02%
2460.01%
2480.01%
2500.00%
2500.00%
2490.00%
250By country
This trend’s share of all the attention the 250 trends draw in each country, and its rank there: the 12 highest of 23.
0.55%
370.25%
1040.09%
1860.07%
2140.03%
1990.03%
1910.02%
2450.02%
2330.02%
2450.02%
2220.02%
2410.01%
226Similar Trends
The ten trends most like this one: each one's share of attention over the period chosen, largest first, and over three years.
0.94%
0.89%
0.75%
0.67%
0.43%
0.29%
0.17%
0.11%
0.05%
0.04%
Scenario Relevance
A trend is relevant to a GINC Scenario where it changes how likely the scenario is, how hard it lands, or is itself sharply changed by it. Each trend is graded against every scenario on a seven-point scale from Nil to Critical.
Downside scenarios
| Scenario | Relevance |
|---|---|
S05 A disputed transfer of power breaks effective government Geopolitical and security | Critical |
S01 Critical trade divides into rival blocs Economic and trade | Nil |
S02 A global funding seizure reaches sovereign balance sheets Economic and trade | Nil |
S03 A regional war closes a globally important sea route Geopolitical and security | Nil |
S04 Hybrid coercion ends in an infrastructure blackout Geopolitical and security | Nil |
S06 Two breadbasket failures trigger a food availability crisis Energy, climate and resources | Nil |
S07 A major disaster disables the national economic core Energy, climate and resources | Nil |
S08 An AI deployment step causes abrupt labour displacement Technology and infrastructure | Nil |
S09 A cryptographic breakthrough invalidates digital trust Technology and infrastructure | Nil |
S10 A novel respiratory pathogen exceeds health surge capacity Health | Nil |
Upside scenarios
| Scenario | Relevance |
|---|---|
S11 A creditor agreement releases fiscal capacity Economic and trade | Nil |
S12 A cross-regional market access compact redirects investment Economic and trade | Nil |
S13 A great-power agreement lowers economic security barriers Geopolitical and security | Nil |
S14 A verified Middle East settlement restores access Geopolitical and security | Nil |
S15 Cheap firm clean power becomes available at scale Energy, climate and resources | Nil |
S16 A validated farming package raises water-efficient output Energy, climate and resources | Nil |
S17 AI-directed research produces a reproducible discovery step Technology and infrastructure | Nil |
S18 A public service platform reaches inclusive operation Technology and infrastructure | Nil |
S19 Affordable preventive treatments reduce chronic illness Health | Nil |
S20 A live outbreak proves rapid distributed pandemic defence Health | Nil |