Indice

Quali tendenze il mondo legge e cerca più di prima, e quali meno. L’attenzione non coincide con la forza di un fenomeno: una tendenza può rafforzarsi senza essere notata, e un fatto di cronaca può far salire l’attenzione per un paio di settimane.

Scarica CSV Metodologia

In forte crescita: 7%; 16 su 245
In crescita: 12%; 29 su 245
Stabile: 33%; 81 su 245
In lieve calo: 31%; 76 su 245
In forte calo: 18%; 43 su 245

In maggiore crescita

Tendenza	Tre anni	Nell’arco di un anno
Modelli di IA a pesi aperti		+340%
Scorte strategiche		+301%
Ricerca automatizzata sull’IA		+233%
Espansione dei data center per l’IA		+115%
Fabbisogno energetico dei data center		+114%
Guerra ibrida		+112%
Provenienza dei contenuti		+110%
Concentrazione dell’IA di frontiera		+89%
Tensioni sui titoli di Stato		+72%
Software scritto dall’IA		+69%

In maggior calo

Tendenza	Tre anni	Nell’arco di un anno
Dipendenza dalle terre rare		-80%
Revisione dei prezzi degli immobili commerciali		-63%
Integrità delle statistiche ufficiali		-61%
Ransomware ed estorsione informatica		-60%
Resilienza delle reti di telecomunicazione		-56%
Escalation dei dazi		-56%
Stablecoin e valute digitali		-54%
Controlli sulle esportazioni		-53%
Scoperta di farmaci con l’IA		-52%
Diffusione delle cripto-attività		-51%

Attenzione per regione e membro del G20

Ogni tendenza è seguita anche all’interno di ciascuna regione e di ciascun membro del G20, a partire da due fonti, di cui si calcola la media dove sono disponibili entrambe. Le ricerche su Google sono rilevate Paese per Paese per 48 Paesi, cercando ogni tendenza in inglese e nella lingua del Paese. Le letture su Wikipedia sono rilevate attraverso le lingue più lette in un luogo, poiché nessuna fonte aperta conta le letture per Paese. Una linea confronta una tendenza con il proprio passato in un singolo luogo; non indica che un luogo presti più attenzione di un altro. Come vengono rilevati i luoghi.

Regioni

Luogo	Ricerche su Google in	Letture su Wikipedia in	Tendenze rilevate	In maggiore crescita nell’arco di un anno
America del Nord	Stati Uniti, Canada	Inglese 49% · weak	250/250	Ricerca automatizzata sull’IA +273% · Modelli di IA a pesi aperti +209% · Integrità elettorale +155%
Europa	Regno Unito, Francia, Germania, Italia, Spagna, Paesi Bassi, Polonia, Svezia, Svizzera	tedesco 95%, francese 83%, italiano 95%, polacco 93%, olandese 89%, svedese 84% · strong	249/250	Elusione delle sanzioni +1127% · Disordini civili +220% · Guerra ibrida +205%
Cina	Cina	Wikipedia è bloccata nella Cina continentale. Le letture in lingua cinese provengono soprattutto da Taiwan, Hong Kong, Singapore e dalle comunità di lingua cinese all’estero.	44/250	Motori di risposta basati sull’IA +452% · Ferrovie e trasporto di massa +275% · Espansione di solare ed eolico +253%
Indo-Pacifico	Giappone, Corea del Sud, Indonesia, Australia, Singapore, Taiwan, Vietnam, Thailandia, Filippine, Malaysia, Nuova Zelanda	giapponese 96%, cinese 59%, coreano 86%, indonesiano 87%, vietnamita, thailandese 87%, malese 72% · strong	247/250	Ricerca automatizzata sull’IA +163% · Scorte strategiche +130% · Sovranità digitale +124%
Asia del Sud	India, Pakistan, Bangladesh, Sri Lanka	hindi 88%, bengalese 49%, tamil 77%, urdu · strong	230/250	Sovraccapacità manifatturiera +1143% · Capacità industriale della difesa +336% · Concentrazione dei capitali nell’IA +253%
Golfo e Medio Oriente	Arabia Saudita, Turchia, Emirati Arabi Uniti, Egitto, Israele, Qatar	persiano, arabo, turco, ebraico 85% · per lingua	212/250	Ristrutturazione del debito sovrano +615% · Cavi e condotte sottomarini +299% · Stabilità della rete e ripartenza autonoma +286%
Africa	Sudafrica, Nigeria, Kenya, Marocco, Etiopia, Ghana	afrikaans, swahili · per lingua	94/250	Costi di pensioni e assistenza +3692% · Lacune nella protezione sociale +965% · Violenza politica +328%
America Latina e Caraibi	Brasile, Messico, Argentina, Colombia, Cile, Perù	spagnolo 55%, portoghese 76% · fair	234/250	Concentrazione dei capitali nell’IA +605% · Integrità elettorale +409% · Controlli sull’immigrazione +185%
Russia ed Eurasia	Ucraina, Kazakistan, Uzbekistan	russo, ucraino 73% · per lingua	211/250	Approvvigionamento e raffinazione dei carburanti +730% · Ferrovie e trasporto di massa +230% · Costi di pensioni e assistenza +228%

Membri del G20

Luogo	Ricerche su Google in	Letture su Wikipedia in	Tendenze rilevate	In maggiore crescita nell’arco di un anno
Argentina	Ricerche effettuate in Argentina	Non utilizzata: la lingua spagnolo è condivisa con Messico	95/250	Abuso del potere esecutivo +259% · Stabilità della rete e ripartenza autonoma +231% · Rallentamento degli investimenti esteri +174%
Australia	Ricerche effettuate in Australia	Non utilizzata: la lingua Inglese è condivisa con Canada, Sudafrica, Regno Unito, Stati Uniti	169/250	Guerra ibrida +2474% · Diffusione dei veicoli elettrici +304% · Approvvigionamento e raffinazione dei carburanti +230%
Brasile	Ricerche effettuate in Brasile	portoghese 75% · strong	213/250	Integrità elettorale +1586% · Concentrazione dei capitali nell’IA +605% · Lacune nella protezione sociale +558%
Canada	Ricerche effettuate in Canada	Non utilizzata: la lingua Inglese è condivisa con Australia, Sudafrica, Regno Unito, Stati Uniti	195/250	Regressione democratica +498% · Guerra ibrida +459% · Integrità elettorale +375%
Cina	Ricerche effettuate in Cina. Google è bloccato nella Cina continentale, quindi questa linea riflette i pochi che riescono ad accedervi.	Wikipedia è bloccata nella Cina continentale.	44/250	Motori di risposta basati sull’IA +452% · Ferrovie e trasporto di massa +275% · Espansione di solare ed eolico +253%
Francia	Ricerche effettuate in Francia	francese 71% · fair	238/250	Disordini civili +1057% · Scorte strategiche +387% · Intrusioni informatiche statali +253%
Germania	Ricerche effettuate in Germania	tedesco 77% · strong	243/250	Elusione delle sanzioni +2115% · Disordini civili +245% · Lanci spaziali commerciali +228%
India	Ricerche effettuate in India	hindi 87%, bengalese 49%, tamil 73% · strong	229/250	Sovraccapacità manifatturiera +1143% · Declino del contante +278% · Concentrazione dei capitali nell’IA +253%
Indonesia	Ricerche effettuate in Indonesia	indonesiano 82% · strong	189/250	Carico dell’inquinamento atmosferico +529% · Sovranità digitale +425% · Ripartizione degli oneri nelle alleanze +327%
Italia	Ricerche effettuate in Italia	italiano 90% · strong	216/250	Guerra ibrida +397% · Approvvigionamento e raffinazione dei carburanti +240% · Consumatori dei mercati emergenti +211%
Giappone	Ricerche effettuate in Giappone	giapponese 95% · strong	242/250	Ricerca automatizzata sull’IA +427% · Misinformazione e disinformazione +290% · Indebolimento del multilateralismo +211%
Corea del Sud	Ricerche effettuate in Corea del Sud	coreano 82% · strong	208/250	Consumatori dei mercati emergenti +411% · Software scritto dall’IA +192% · Dipendenza dalle rimesse +188%
Messico	Ricerche effettuate in Messico	Non utilizzata: la lingua spagnolo è condivisa con Argentina	143/250	Identificazione biometrica +496% · Lobbismo e cattura regolamentare +234% · Stabilità della rete e ripartenza autonoma +203%
Russia	Il fornitore dei dati non copre la Russia.	russo · per lingua	200/250	Espansione della sorveglianza digitale +191% · Ricerca automatizzata sull’IA +113% · Motori di risposta basati sull’IA +109%
Arabia Saudita	Ricerche effettuate in Arabia Saudita	Non utilizzato: l’arabo è condiviso con	50/250	Ristrutturazione del debito sovrano +3292% · Terrorismo ed estremismo violento +1217% · Ritorno della difesa civile +1194%
Sudafrica	Ricerche effettuate in Sudafrica	Non utilizzata: la lingua Inglese è condivisa con Australia, Canada, Regno Unito, Stati Uniti	80/250	Scarsità di acqua dolce +473% · Capacità dell’amministrazione fiscale +406% · Idrogeno e combustibili puliti +255%
Turchia	Ricerche effettuate in Turchia	turco · per lingua	169/250	Complottismo e negazionismo scientifico +689% · Declino della mobilità sociale +431% · Riduzione dello spazio di bilancio +189%
Regno Unito	Ricerche effettuate nel Regno Unito	Non utilizzata: la lingua Inglese è condivisa con Australia, Canada, Sudafrica, Stati Uniti	220/250	Guerra ibrida +431% · Elusione delle sanzioni +279% · Nazionalismo religioso ed etnico +233%
Stati Uniti	Ricerche effettuate negli Stati Uniti	Inglese 44% · weak	250/250	Ricerca automatizzata sull’IA +273% · Modelli di IA a pesi aperti +195% · Integrità elettorale +148%

La percentuale accanto a una lingua è la quota dei suoi lettori che si trovano nel luogo. Una lingua contrassegnata con «lingua» è collocata in base a dove è parlata, perché gran parte delle sue letture raggiunge Wikipedia attraverso reti di altri Paesi. «Tendenze rilevate» indica quante delle 250 tendenze sono cercate o lette nel luogo in misura sufficiente per essere seguite.

Prototype · built 2026-11-07

What prediction markets expect of the 250 trends: for each, the market-implied chance that the force strengthens, how that chance is moving, and how much money is trading on it. Built from 2,326 questions on Polymarket, Kalshi and Manifold, mapped to the trends by three judges working blind; 189 of the 250 have a question and 103 have a reading this week (two or more live questions). Separate from the attention index, which looks back at what people read and searched.

The 250 trends of the 2027 list

250 shown. Click a column to sort; a dash means no reading (fewer than two live questions, or none mapped).

#
1	AI for science	Critical Technology	AI, compute & automation	7	17	80%	+5.0	+30.8	+42.6	40	34%	82	75
2	Open-weight AI models	Critical Technology	AI, compute & automation	4	48	80%	-28.4	+14.4	-13.9	65	51%	85	74
3	Economic coercion	Trade & Investment	Trade, supply chains & industrial policy	3	14	77%	-31.6	+7.4	—	239	71%	88	64
4	Stretched asset valuations	Financial Strength	Housing, wealth & cost of living	23	46	77%	-2.5	+4.8	+29.6	1,044	74%	64	72
5	Solar & wind expansion	Strategic Infrastructure	Energy transition & power systems	3	7	76%	+19.6	+8.1	+23.1	2	49%	94	79
6	Strategic stockpiles	Strategic Infrastructure	Trade, supply chains & industrial policy	5	16	73%	+38.2	—	—	127	26%	75	55
7	AI data centre build-out	Critical Technology	AI, compute & automation	34	46	73%	+14.4	+17.1	+12.7	16,399	69%	86	78
8	Geoeconomic fragmentation	Trade & Investment	Trade, supply chains & industrial policy	17	41	70%	+8.4	-9.9	+14.4	2,271	55%	89	83
9	Gene & cell therapies	Critical Technology	Health, biotech & humanitarian need	3	7	68%	-3.1	+25.5	+39.7	1	100%	72	56
10	AI chip supply	Critical Technology	AI, compute & automation	2	5	68%	+21.8	+38.9	—	3	80%	88	84
11	Cost of living squeeze	Financial Strength	Housing, wealth & cost of living	3	6	66%	+14.9	+14.3	—	13	100%	82	64
12	Agricultural productivity	Production & Innovation	Climate, water & land	5	6	63%	+12.0	—	—	228	100%	82	66
13	Ransomware & cyber extortion	National Security	Public finance, money & integrity	2	4	61%	—	+27.9	—	10	100%	91	60
14	Deindustrialisation pressure	Production & Innovation	Trade, supply chains & industrial policy	2	2	59%	+8.0	—	—	26	—	82	63
15	AI capital concentration	Financial Strength	AI, compute & automation	31	44	58%	-7.9	+1.8	+9.3	3,995	81%	85	68
16	Inflation persistence	Financial Strength	Public finance, money & integrity	77	134	57%	+3.9	+8.4	+45.8	28,322	39%	72	69
17	mRNA vaccine platforms	Critical Technology	Health, biotech & humanitarian need	9	15	57%	-3.8	-35.6	—	677	22%	72	58
18	Migration restriction	Human Capital	Demography, health systems & work	3	9	54%	-12.7	-12.8	-32.8	5	46%	85	66
19	Nuclear proliferation	National Security	Geopolitics, defence & deterrence	15	41	54%	+2.1	+10.0	+26.9	3,922	50%	56	79
20	Democratic backsliding	Governance & Integrity	Democracy, media & trust	7	16	53%	-1.9	-3.8	+11.3	111	55%	84	76
21	Household debt	Financial Strength	Housing, wealth & cost of living	3	7	51%	+17.2	+17.7	—	100	50%	83	56
22	Remittance dependence	Financial Strength	Public finance, money & integrity	2	2	51%	-3.1	—	—	3	—	90	52
23	Manufacturing reshoring	Production & Innovation	Trade, supply chains & industrial policy	7	7	50%	+7.8	+15.8	+7.8	127	—	72	60
24	Transnational organised crime	National Security	Public finance, money & integrity	6	6	49%	+0.4	-3.2	-9.5	83	—	87	62
25	Persistent armed conflict	National Security	Geopolitics, defence & deterrence	23	150	48%	+2.2	+4.7	+8.1	2,013	48%	86	78
26	Stablecoins & digital currencies	Financial Strength	Public finance, money & integrity	7	13	46%	-4.5	-16.2	+10.6	113	30%	82	61
27	Contested maritime access	National Security	Energy, food & commodity dependence	16	40	45%	+4.8	+31.6	+62.5	1,764	38%	85	70
28	Economic security policy	Trade & Investment	Trade, supply chains & industrial policy	11	19	45%	+2.3	+11.1	—	493	56%	90	66
29	Critical minerals supply	Trade & Investment	Trade, supply chains & industrial policy	4	17	45%	-19.5	—	—	213	57%	90	78
30	Export controls	Trade & Investment	Trade, supply chains & industrial policy	9	12	43%	-6.9	-5.1	—	347	35%	91	72
31	Industrial policy revival	Production & Innovation	Trade, supply chains & industrial policy	7	10	42%	+3.6	+6.2	-17.6	39	0%	87	72
32	Coal power persistence	Strategic Infrastructure	Energy transition & power systems	3	5	42%	+0.8	—	—	139	100%	80	60
33	Humanoid robots	Critical Technology	AI, compute & automation	14	28	41%	+3.2	+0.2	-12.7	559	7%	57	68
34	Construction productivity	Production & Innovation	Housing, wealth & cost of living	4	9	40%	-13.2	+3.4	—	40	40%	84	58
35	Electric vehicle adoption	Strategic Infrastructure	Energy transition & power systems	4	11	39%	-0.1	+3.4	-18.3	5	44%	89	70
36	Commercial property repricing	Financial Strength	Housing, wealth & cost of living	3	6	38%	+7.7	—	—	27	100%	78	48
37	Climate change & physical risk	Strategic Infrastructure	Climate, water & land	3	18	38%	-0.7	—	+4.9	1	11%	97	91
38	Fertility decline	Human Capital	Demography, health systems & work	6	14	38%	+3.7	+9.0	+12.8	50	47%	97	83
39	Fusion energy	Critical Technology	Energy transition & power systems	9	26	36%	+0.9	-0.8	+6.8	10	0%	32	52
40	Global South coalitions	Information & Influence	Geopolitics, defence & deterrence	3	9	36%	-0.2	-5.7	-31.3	61	34%	70	54
41	Housing affordability	Financial Strength	Housing, wealth & cost of living	16	30	36%	+14.5	+18.8	+6.7	620	36%	90	66
42	Autonomous vehicles	Production & Innovation	AI, compute & automation	6	27	35%	-1.2	+0.9	+0.1	22	19%	73	55
43	Child online safety	Information & Influence	Democracy, media & trust	9	11	34%	+2.5	-8.1	—	14	45%	85	45
44	Deepfakes & synthetic media	Information & Influence	Democracy, media & trust	7	48	34%	-2.8	-7.0	-30.0	3	34%	94	61
45	Sovereign debt burden	Financial Strength	Public finance, money & integrity	39	47	33%	-23.1	+2.0	+1.4	1,306	57%	94	81
46	Tariff escalation	Trade & Investment	Trade, supply chains & industrial policy	25	77	33%	-10.5	-0.7	-22.0	1,059	50%	85	75
47	Frontier AI capability	Critical Technology	AI, compute & automation	19	65	32%	+1.7	+5.2	+1.5	273	69%	88	93
48	Asset tokenisation	Financial Strength	Public finance, money & integrity	9	9	32%	-26.4	—	—	142	0%	71	47
49	Healthy life expectancy	Human Capital	Demography, health systems & work	3	5	31%	+0.8	+1.1	+4.1	1	—	84	58
50	Commodity price volatility	Trade & Investment	Energy, food & commodity dependence	28	91	30%	+6.4	+44.2	+3.0	5,904	52%	90	59
51	Sovereign bond market strain	Financial Strength	Public finance, money & integrity	61	76	29%	-22.3	+21.6	+11.2	2,455	30%	79	71
52	Executive overreach	Governance & Integrity	Democracy, media & trust	17	54	28%	-18.7	-22.3	-28.2	13,967	37%	83	63
53	Market concentration	Production & Innovation	AI, compute & automation	4	13	28%	-2.1	-7.0	-45.3	124	31%	86	63
54	Platform regulation	Information & Influence	Democracy, media & trust	6	27	27%	+0.5	-6.6	-23.5	5	58%	82	54
55	Wealth concentration	Financial Strength	Housing, wealth & cost of living	9	12	27%	-19.3	-22.9	-8.0	9,705	52%	87	60
56	LNG trade expansion	Trade & Investment	Energy, food & commodity dependence	2	2	26%	-9.4	-24.9	—	9	—	92	59
57	Data centre power demand	Strategic Infrastructure	AI, compute & automation	35	47	26%	+0.5	-10.6	+41.2	25,959	87%	87	62
58	Weakening multilateralism	Information & Influence	Geopolitics, defence & deterrence	8	13	24%	+1.6	-3.7	-7.4	116	27%	86	75
59	Populist politics	Governance & Integrity	Democracy, media & trust	9	22	24%	-6.1	+1.8	+24.1	7,413	79%	81	70
60	Gold reserve accumulation	Financial Strength	Public finance, money & integrity	21	37	21%	-16.2	-19.7	—	1,735	17%	86	47
61	Fiscal rules & credibility	Governance & Integrity	Public finance, money & integrity	14	75	20%	-2.1	-15.7	-40.0	154	40%	84	64
62	Skilled talent migration	Human Capital	Demography, health systems & work	2	3	19%	+0.2	-3.4	-0.4	2	—	88	62
63	Election integrity	Information & Influence	Democracy, media & trust	25	44	18%	-5.5	-1.1	-3.5	3,243	12%	82	67
64	AI agents	Critical Technology	AI, compute & automation	10	25	17%	-27.4	-25.2	-11.9	78	22%	81	82
65	Grid expansion bottlenecks	Strategic Infrastructure	Energy transition & power systems	2	2	17%	-4.6	—	—	418	—	89	75
66	Civil unrest	Governance & Integrity	Democracy, media & trust	3	25	17%	-11.9	—	-17.7	7,881	30%	85	58
67	AI job displacement	Human Capital	AI, compute & automation	12	24	17%	-2.9	-18.5	-16.4	48	0%	76	84
68	Political polarisation	Governance & Integrity	Democracy, media & trust	21	92	17%	-0.3	-7.7	-34.4	410	30%	87	70
69	Regional medicines manufacturing	Production & Innovation	Trade, supply chains & industrial policy	2	2	16%	-3.5	—	—	50	—	66	46
70	Great-power competition	National Security	Geopolitics, defence & deterrence	10	31	15%	-1.4	-3.4	-7.2	594	11%	93	91
71	Small modular reactors	Critical Technology	Energy transition & power systems	4	5	14%	-3.5	-10.8	-10.5	132	0%	58	57
72	AI regulation & safety	Governance & Integrity	AI, compute & automation	22	50	14%	+1.5	-11.1	-25.4	238	41%	76	64
73	Commercial space launch	Critical Technology	Cyber, space & critical networks	11	31	14%	-2.9	-13.4	-59.8	711	54%	87	60
74	Political violence	Governance & Integrity	Democracy, media & trust	3	32	13%	+0.7	-6.8	+41.4	36	35%	78	52
75	Shrinking fiscal space	Financial Strength	Public finance, money & integrity	46	89	13%	-1.6	-9.3	-20.4	2,129	28%	89	78
76	Rule of law	Governance & Integrity	Democracy, media & trust	6	12	13%	-4.1	-3.0	-12.8	205	13%	81	71
77	Pension & care costs	Financial Strength	Demography, health systems & work	3	4	13%	+2.9	+4.9	—	1	—	97	80
78	Fertiliser dependence	Trade & Investment	Energy, food & commodity dependence	2	2	13%	-0.1	-22.9	—	7	—	88	61
79	Social protection gaps	Governance & Integrity	Public finance, money & integrity	3	10	12%	-1.8	-4.7	-30.4	44	0%	83	60
80	Trade deals & regional agreements	Trade & Investment	Trade, supply chains & industrial policy	8	14	12%	-3.8	-16.6	-47.2	272	38%	81	57
81	Middle-power multi-alignment	Information & Influence	Geopolitics, defence & deterrence	12	17	12%	-1.8	-8.0	-21.8	751	11%	87	63
82	Automated AI research	Critical Technology	AI, compute & automation	8	13	11%	-4.0	-3.8	-8.7	44	0%	57	80
83	Undersea cables & pipelines	Strategic Infrastructure	Cyber, space & critical networks	2	5	11%	+44.6	+60.6	—	1,125	39%	90	66
84	Drone warfare	National Security	Geopolitics, defence & deterrence	3	9	11%	-1.3	-2.1	-6.8	14	21%	94	77
85	State cyber intrusion	National Security	Cyber, space & critical networks	2	10	11%	+0.3	+14.3	+6.0	8	29%	92	76
86	Hybrid warfare	National Security	Cyber, space & critical networks	4	9	10%	—	—	—	640	30%	89	65
87	Infectious disease threats	Human Capital	Health, biotech & humanitarian need	5	11	10%	-3.9	-4.3	—	1,279	13%	87	71
88	Fuel supply & refining	Strategic Infrastructure	Energy, food & commodity dependence	5	7	10%	-3.6	—	—	2,917	0%	82	57
89	Post-quantum cryptography	Critical Technology	Cyber, space & critical networks	4	9	9%	+0.3	+0.8	-13.1	19	0%	84	64
90	Central bank independence	Governance & Integrity	Public finance, money & integrity	10	13	9%	-2.9	-7.0	-5.1	89	0%	74	71
91	Lunar exploration race	Critical Technology	Cyber, space & critical networks	13	43	9%	-0.8	-0.8	+3.9	1,270	32%	74	40
92	Alliance burden-shifting	National Security	Geopolitics, defence & deterrence	6	20	9%	-0.3	-7.8	-7.4	73	58%	83	76
93	Quantum computing	Critical Technology	Cyber, space & critical networks	5	12	8%	-1.2	-0.5	-17.5	29	0%	52	62
94	Arms control erosion	National Security	Geopolitics, defence & deterrence	7	59	8%	-0.1	-0.9	+4.1	299	17%	88	64
95	Crypto-asset mainstreaming	Financial Strength	Public finance, money & integrity	10	32	8%	-1.4	-9.7	-30.9	294	64%	77	45
96	Nuclear arms race	National Security	Geopolitics, defence & deterrence	5	57	8%	-0.1	-0.2	+1.6	18	15%	86	71
97	Sovereign wealth funds	Trade & Investment	Trade, supply chains & industrial policy	3	4	7%	-3.3	-8.0	-10.0	23	0%	87	56
98	Weight-loss drugs	Production & Innovation	Demography, health systems & work	3	8	7%	-3.3	-3.8	-49.9	502	36%	89	59
99	Immigration enforcement	Governance & Integrity	Democracy, media & trust	7	22	6%	-0.1	-7.8	-33.7	158	67%	84	55
100	Conscription revival	National Security	Geopolitics, defence & deterrence	3	8	6%	-1.5	-2.1	—	492	47%	73	50
101	Population ageing	Human Capital	Demography, health systems & work	6	7	6%	-0.4	—	-15.7	1	—	99	90
102	Trade corridor competition	Trade & Investment	Geopolitics, defence & deterrence	2	3	5%	-0.1	-1.8	—	62	0%	82	55
103	Energy import dependence	Trade & Investment	Energy, food & commodity dependence	4	8	3%	-3.4	-1.5	-6.9	66	13%	87	68
104	Digital sovereignty	Critical Technology	AI, compute & automation	1	2	—	—	—	—	0	—	81	63
105	Advanced semiconductors	Critical Technology	Trade, supply chains & industrial policy	0	1	—	—	—	—	0	—	91	74
106	Synthetic biology	Critical Technology	Health, biotech & humanitarian need	0	1	—	—	—	—	0	—	72	63
107	Quantum sensing	Critical Technology	Cyber, space & critical networks	0	0	—	—	—	—	0	—	64	48
108	Cloud concentration risk	Critical Technology	AI, compute & automation	0	1	—	—	—	—	0	—	90	65
109	Frontier AI concentration	Critical Technology	AI, compute & automation	1	6	—	—	—	—	0	76%	80	74
110	Chipmaking tool chokepoints	Critical Technology	Trade, supply chains & industrial policy	1	3	—	—	—	—	0	100%	90	74
111	Orbital debris	Critical Technology	Cyber, space & critical networks	0	1	—	—	—	—	0	—	84	48
112	Precision medicine	Critical Technology	Health, biotech & humanitarian need	1	2	—	—	—	—	1	100%	79	55
113	Advanced materials	Critical Technology	Energy transition & power systems	0	1	—	—	—	—	0	0%	76	55
114	Brain-computer interfaces	Critical Technology	Democracy, media & trust	1	6	—	—	—	—	1	67%	54	36
115	AI inference efficiency	Critical Technology	AI, compute & automation	0	3	—	—	—	—	0	58%	90	68
116	Earth observation	Critical Technology	Climate, water & land	0	0	—	—	—	—	0	—	89	59
117	Biometric identification	Critical Technology	Democracy, media & trust	0	1	—	—	—	—	0	—	88	52
118	Biodiversity loss	Strategic Infrastructure	Climate, water & land	0	0	—	—	—	—	0	—	92	61
119	Electrification of heat & industry	Strategic Infrastructure	Energy transition & power systems	0	1	—	—	—	—	0	0%	77	64
120	Urbanisation & megacities	Strategic Infrastructure	Housing, wealth & cost of living	0	0	—	—	—	—	0	—	95	70
121	Soil degradation	Strategic Infrastructure	Climate, water & land	0	0	—	—	—	—	0	—	87	57
122	Transboundary water disputes	Strategic Infrastructure	Climate, water & land	1	1	—	—	—	—	1	—	77	54
123	Climate adaptation	Strategic Infrastructure	Climate, water & land	0	0	—	—	—	—	0	—	82	65
124	Freshwater scarcity	Strategic Infrastructure	Climate, water & land	1	1	—	—	—	—	1	—	92	72
125	Grid-scale storage	Strategic Infrastructure	Energy transition & power systems	0	0	—	—	—	—	0	—	91	69
126	Satellite navigation dependence	Strategic Infrastructure	Cyber, space & critical networks	0	0	—	—	—	—	0	—	91	63
127	5G & 6G networks	Strategic Infrastructure	Cyber, space & critical networks	0	0	—	—	—	—	0	—	86	54
128	Urban heat & cooling	Strategic Infrastructure	Climate, water & land	0	0	—	—	—	—	0	—	91	58
129	Ageing infrastructure	Strategic Infrastructure	Climate, water & land	0	1	—	—	—	—	0	100%	91	65
130	Satellite broadband	Strategic Infrastructure	Cyber, space & critical networks	0	1	—	—	—	—	0	100%	91	62
131	Sea level rise	Strategic Infrastructure	Climate, water & land	0	0	—	—	—	—	0	—	96	70
132	Distributed power	Strategic Infrastructure	Energy transition & power systems	0	1	—	—	—	—	0	0%	86	57
133	Early warning systems	Strategic Infrastructure	Climate, water & land	0	0	—	—	—	—	0	—	79	51
134	Grid stability & black start	Strategic Infrastructure	Energy transition & power systems	0	3	—	—	—	—	0	0%	81	64
135	Energy access gaps	Strategic Infrastructure	Energy transition & power systems	0	0	—	—	—	—	0	—	81	58
136	Telecom network resilience	Strategic Infrastructure	Cyber, space & critical networks	0	1	—	—	—	—	34	100%	82	57
137	Flood defence & dam safety	Strategic Infrastructure	Climate, water & land	0	0	—	—	—	—	0	—	84	55
138	Rail & mass transit	Strategic Infrastructure	Housing, wealth & cost of living	1	2	—	—	—	—	45	—	79	49
139	Rearmament & defence spending	National Security	Geopolitics, defence & deterrence	0	0	—	—	—	—	0	—	90	74
140	Biosecurity & dual-use biology	National Security	Health, biotech & humanitarian need	1	1	—	—	—	—	1	—	73	66
141	Arctic competition	National Security	Energy, food & commodity dependence	1	4	—	—	—	—	1	0%	81	45
142	Defence industrial capacity	National Security	Trade, supply chains & industrial policy	0	0	—	—	—	—	0	—	86	69
143	Military AI & autonomous weapons	National Security	AI, compute & automation	0	2	—	—	—	—	0	70%	87	72
144	Space militarisation	National Security	Cyber, space & critical networks	0	4	—	—	—	—	0	19%	88	63
145	Critical infrastructure protection	National Security	Cyber, space & critical networks	1	2	—	—	—	—	10	0%	89	67
146	Civil defence revival	National Security	Geopolitics, defence & deterrence	0	0	—	—	—	—	0	—	73	51
147	Online scam industry	National Security	Public finance, money & integrity	0	0	—	—	—	—	0	—	87	51
148	Missile proliferation & defence	National Security	Geopolitics, defence & deterrence	1	14	—	—	—	—	9	43%	89	70
149	Private military & proxy forces	National Security	Geopolitics, defence & deterrence	0	5	—	—	—	—	0	51%	83	53
150	Terrorism & violent extremism	National Security	Democracy, media & trust	1	8	—	—	—	—	0	0%	85	51
151	Espionage & counterintelligence	National Security	Cyber, space & critical networks	1	2	—	—	—	—	2	0%	91	57
152	Undersea warfare	National Security	Cyber, space & critical networks	0	1	—	—	—	—	0	100%	84	55
153	Workforce reskilling	Human Capital	AI, compute & automation	0	0	—	—	—	—	0	—	76	60
154	Social mobility decline	Human Capital	Housing, wealth & cost of living	1	1	—	—	—	—	0	—	82	62
155	Foundational learning deficits	Human Capital	AI, compute & automation	1	1	—	—	—	—	16	—	87	69
156	Chronic disease burden	Human Capital	Demography, health systems & work	0	2	—	—	—	—	0	—	92	71
157	Climate migration	Human Capital	Climate, water & land	0	0	—	—	—	—	0	—	85	62
158	Skilled labour shortages	Human Capital	Demography, health systems & work	0	0	—	—	—	—	0	—	89	67
159	Youth bulge	Human Capital	Public finance, money & integrity	0	0	—	—	—	—	0	—	96	70
160	Women's workforce participation	Human Capital	Demography, health systems & work	0	0	—	—	—	—	0	—	75	60
161	Air pollution burden	Human Capital	Energy transition & power systems	0	0	—	—	—	—	0	—	87	58
162	Informal employment	Human Capital	Public finance, money & integrity	0	0	—	—	—	—	0	—	89	60
163	Maternal & child health	Human Capital	Health, biotech & humanitarian need	0	1	—	—	—	—	0	0%	76	52
164	Youth unemployment	Human Capital	Public finance, money & integrity	1	1	—	—	—	—	13	—	85	63
165	Antimicrobial resistance	Human Capital	Health, biotech & humanitarian need	0	0	—	—	—	—	0	—	90	68
166	Forced displacement	Human Capital	Health, biotech & humanitarian need	0	3	—	—	—	—	0	0%	90	61
167	Care economy strain	Human Capital	Demography, health systems & work	0	0	—	—	—	—	0	—	93	65
168	Health system strain	Human Capital	Demography, health systems & work	1	1	—	—	—	—	47	0%	93	70
169	Mental ill-health	Human Capital	Democracy, media & trust	0	0	—	—	—	—	0	—	86	59
170	Child malnutrition	Human Capital	Health, biotech & humanitarian need	0	0	—	—	—	—	0	—	82	55
171	Loneliness & isolation	Human Capital	Democracy, media & trust	0	0	—	—	—	—	0	—	80	44
172	Drug overdose crisis	Human Capital	Public finance, money & integrity	0	0	—	—	—	—	0	—	73	45
173	Health workforce shortage	Human Capital	Demography, health systems & work	0	0	—	—	—	—	0	—	92	66
174	Misinformation & disinformation	Information & Influence	Democracy, media & trust	0	3	—	—	—	—	0	30%	90	67
175	Foreign information manipulation	Information & Influence	Democracy, media & trust	0	1	—	—	—	—	0	100%	90	60
176	Institutional trust decline	Information & Influence	Democracy, media & trust	0	1	—	—	—	—	0	0%	85	71
177	Technical standards competition	Information & Influence	Cyber, space & critical networks	0	0	—	—	—	—	0	—	85	58
178	Content provenance	Information & Influence	Democracy, media & trust	0	2	—	—	—	—	0	59%	64	45
179	Research security	Information & Influence	Demography, health systems & work	1	2	—	—	—	—	4	100%	85	59
180	Digital surveillance expansion	Information & Influence	Democracy, media & trust	0	3	—	—	—	—	0	100%	91	63
181	Independent journalism decline	Information & Influence	Democracy, media & trust	0	0	—	—	—	—	0	—	88	57
182	Internet censorship & shutdowns	Information & Influence	Democracy, media & trust	1	7	—	—	—	—	725	8%	86	55
183	Development finance as influence	Information & Influence	Geopolitics, defence & deterrence	1	3	—	—	—	—	3	0%	85	60
184	AI answer engines	Information & Influence	Democracy, media & trust	1	25	—	—	—	—	1	24%	90	66
185	Conspiracy & science denial	Information & Influence	Democracy, media & trust	0	0	—	—	—	—	0	—	81	57
186	Platform power	Information & Influence	Democracy, media & trust	0	1	—	—	—	—	0	0%	89	68
187	News influencers	Information & Influence	Democracy, media & trust	0	3	—	—	—	—	0	100%	90	48
188	Audience fragmentation	Information & Influence	Democracy, media & trust	0	1	—	—	—	—	0	100%	91	51
189	Commercial spyware	Information & Influence	Democracy, media & trust	0	0	—	—	—	—	0	—	85	42
190	AI companions	Information & Influence	Democracy, media & trust	0	0	—	—	—	—	0	—	84	42
191	International student flows	Information & Influence	Demography, health systems & work	0	1	—	—	—	—	0	100%	86	48
192	Religious & ethnic nationalism	Information & Influence	Democracy, media & trust	0	1	—	—	—	—	0	—	84	62
193	Humanitarian system strain	Information & Influence	Health, biotech & humanitarian need	1	6	—	—	—	—	3	35%	90	57
194	State capacity	Governance & Integrity	Public finance, money & integrity	0	11	—	—	—	—	0	70%	85	77
195	Carbon pricing	Governance & Integrity	Energy transition & power systems	1	4	—	—	—	—	0	64%	73	56
196	Corruption & state capture	Governance & Integrity	Public finance, money & integrity	0	0	—	—	—	—	0	—	89	68
197	Data protection	Governance & Integrity	Democracy, media & trust	0	3	—	—	—	—	0	25%	83	50
198	Digital public infrastructure	Governance & Integrity	Public finance, money & integrity	0	1	—	—	—	—	0	0%	85	64
199	Government AI adoption	Governance & Integrity	AI, compute & automation	0	0	—	—	—	—	0	—	84	67
200	Illicit finance	Governance & Integrity	Public finance, money & integrity	0	0	—	—	—	—	0	—	85	56
201	Lobbying & regulatory capture	Governance & Integrity	Housing, wealth & cost of living	1	2	—	—	—	—	9	0%	83	56
202	Local government strain	Governance & Integrity	Housing, wealth & cost of living	0	0	—	—	—	—	0	—	85	53
203	Deregulation drive	Governance & Integrity	Housing, wealth & cost of living	1	6	—	—	—	—	31	80%	77	56
204	Military rule resurgence	Governance & Integrity	Democracy, media & trust	1	8	—	—	—	—	32	25%	72	48
205	Tax administration capacity	Governance & Integrity	Public finance, money & integrity	0	0	—	—	—	—	0	—	83	61
206	Deliberative democracy	Governance & Integrity	Democracy, media & trust	0	0	—	—	—	—	0	—	58	34
207	Outsourced public delivery	Governance & Integrity	Public finance, money & integrity	0	0	—	—	—	—	0	—	85	51
208	Official statistics integrity	Governance & Integrity	Public finance, money & integrity	0	2	—	—	—	—	0	52%	78	55
209	De-dollarisation pressure	Financial Strength	Public finance, money & integrity	1	7	—	—	—	—	21	0%	75	69
210	Aid & climate finance retreat	Financial Strength	Health, biotech & humanitarian need	1	3	—	—	—	—	5	0%	89	62
211	Private credit growth	Financial Strength	Housing, wealth & cost of living	0	0	—	—	—	—	0	—	84	55
212	Sustainable finance retreat	Financial Strength	Energy transition & power systems	0	0	—	—	—	—	0	—	77	47
213	Capital flow volatility	Financial Strength	Public finance, money & integrity	1	1	—	—	—	—	1	—	87	60
214	Sovereign debt restructuring	Financial Strength	Public finance, money & integrity	0	0	—	—	—	—	0	—	82	54
215	Decline of cash	Financial Strength	Public finance, money & integrity	0	2	—	—	—	—	0	0%	93	51
216	Financial inclusion	Financial Strength	Public finance, money & integrity	0	0	—	—	—	—	0	—	85	53
217	Disaster risk finance	Financial Strength	Climate, water & land	0	0	—	—	—	—	0	—	75	45
218	Insurance retreat	Financial Strength	Climate, water & land	0	4	—	—	—	—	0	0%	88	61
219	Enterprise AI adoption	Production & Innovation	AI, compute & automation	0	13	—	—	—	—	50	17%	84	75
220	Manufacturing overcapacity	Production & Innovation	Trade, supply chains & industrial policy	0	1	—	—	—	—	0	100%	86	68
221	Factory automation	Production & Innovation	AI, compute & automation	1	3	—	—	—	—	7	0%	91	65
222	Battery manufacturing	Production & Innovation	Energy transition & power systems	0	2	—	—	—	—	0	—	93	71
223	Solar manufacturing	Production & Innovation	Trade, supply chains & industrial policy	0	2	—	—	—	—	0	0%	93	64
224	Alternative proteins	Production & Innovation	Health, biotech & humanitarian need	0	13	—	—	—	—	0	14%	49	37
225	R&D intensity	Production & Innovation	AI, compute & automation	1	3	—	—	—	—	2	0%	80	64
226	Deep-sea mining	Production & Innovation	Energy transition & power systems	0	0	—	—	—	—	0	—	50	39
227	Productivity slowdown	Production & Innovation	AI, compute & automation	0	0	—	—	—	—	0	—	78	76
228	Business dynamism	Production & Innovation	AI, compute & automation	0	1	—	—	—	—	0	0%	77	55
229	AI-written software	Production & Innovation	AI, compute & automation	1	20	—	—	—	—	1	24%	92	69
230	Carbon capture & removal	Production & Innovation	Energy transition & power systems	0	1	—	—	—	—	0	—	58	46
231	Hydrogen & clean fuels	Production & Innovation	Energy, food & commodity dependence	0	0	—	—	—	—	0	—	53	51
232	AI drug discovery	Production & Innovation	Health, biotech & humanitarian need	0	3	—	—	—	—	0	57%	74	60
233	Circular economy	Production & Innovation	Trade, supply chains & industrial policy	0	0	—	—	—	—	0	—	73	49
234	Ultra-processed food backlash	Production & Innovation	Demography, health systems & work	0	0	—	—	—	—	0	—	71	43
235	Drug pricing pressure	Production & Innovation	Trade, supply chains & industrial policy	0	0	—	—	—	—	0	—	85	50
236	Aquaculture growth	Production & Innovation	Climate, water & land	0	0	—	—	—	—	0	—	89	46
237	Supply chain resilience	Trade & Investment	Trade, supply chains & industrial policy	0	1	—	—	—	—	0	0%	78	59
238	Grain trade concentration	Trade & Investment	Energy, food & commodity dependence	0	1	—	—	—	—	0	100%	89	63
239	Shifting economic weight	Trade & Investment	Geopolitics, defence & deterrence	0	2	—	—	—	—	0	100%	93	78
240	Rare earth dependence	Trade & Investment	Trade, supply chains & industrial policy	0	2	—	—	—	—	0	0%	90	69
241	Nuclear fuel supply	Trade & Investment	Energy transition & power systems	0	0	—	—	—	—	0	—	83	50
242	Port & carrier concentration	Trade & Investment	Trade, supply chains & industrial policy	1	4	—	—	—	—	0	22%	88	53
243	Transshipment & origin rules	Trade & Investment	Trade, supply chains & industrial policy	0	0	—	—	—	—	0	—	84	47
244	Sanctions circumvention	Trade & Investment	Trade, supply chains & industrial policy	0	1	—	—	—	—	0	100%	89	55
245	Non-tariff barriers	Trade & Investment	Trade, supply chains & industrial policy	0	0	—	—	—	—	0	—	86	52
246	Carbon border adjustments	Trade & Investment	Energy transition & power systems	0	0	—	—	—	—	0	—	77	52
247	Foreign investment slowdown	Trade & Investment	Trade, supply chains & industrial policy	1	2	—	—	—	—	1	0%	83	60
248	Supplier concentration	Trade & Investment	Trade, supply chains & industrial policy	0	0	—	—	—	—	0	—	90	67
249	Emerging-market consumers	Trade & Investment	Geopolitics, defence & deterrence	0	1	—	—	—	—	0	0%	86	66
250	Pharmaceutical input concentration	Trade & Investment	Trade, supply chains & industrial policy	1	1	—	—	—	—	0	0%	90	57