Index

Welche Trends weltweit mehr Lese- und Suchinteresse finden als früher und welche weniger. Aufmerksamkeit ist nicht dasselbe wie die Stärke einer Entwicklung: Ein Trend kann sich unbemerkt vertiefen, und ein Nachrichtenereignis kann die Aufmerksamkeit für zwei Wochen steigern.

CSV herunterladen Methodik

Stark steigend: 7 %; 16 von 245
Steigend: 12 %; 29 von 245
Gleichbleibend: 33 %; 81 von 245
Nachlassend: 31 %; 76 von 245
Schwindend: 18 %; 43 von 245

Stärkster Anstieg

Trend	Drei Jahre	Über ein Jahr
Offene KI-Modelle		+340 %
Strategische Vorräte		+301 %
Automatisierte KI-Forschung		+233 %
Ausbau von KI-Rechenzentren		+115 %
Strombedarf von Rechenzentren		+114 %
Hybride Kriegführung		+112 %
Herkunftsnachweis von Inhalten		+110 %
Konzentration bei Spitzen-KI		+89 %
Spannungen am Staatsanleihemarkt		+72 %
KI-geschriebene Software		+69 %

Stärkster Rückgang

Trend	Drei Jahre	Über ein Jahr
Abhängigkeit bei Seltenen Erden		-80 %
Neubewertung von Gewerbeimmobilien		-63 %
Integrität der amtlichen Statistik		-61 %
Ransomware und Cybererpressung		-60 %
Resilienz der Telekommunikationsnetze		-56 %
Eskalation der Zölle		-56 %
Stablecoins und Digitalwährungen		-54 %
Exportkontrollen		-53 %
KI in der Wirkstoffforschung		-52 %
Etablierung von Kryptowerten		-51 %

Aufmerksamkeit nach Region und G20-Mitglied

Jeder Trend wird außerdem innerhalb jeder Region und jedes G20-Mitglieds verfolgt, und zwar aus zwei Quellen, die gemittelt werden, wo beide vorliegen. Google-Suchen werden Land für Land für 48 Länder erfasst, wobei jeder Trend auf Englisch und in der Landessprache abgefragt wird. Wikipedia-Aufrufe werden über die an einem Ort überwiegend gelesenen Sprachen erfasst, da keine offene Quelle Aufrufe nach Land zählt. Eine Linie vergleicht einen Trend mit seiner eigenen Vergangenheit an einem Ort; sie sagt nicht, dass ein Ort mehr Aufmerksamkeit aufbringt als ein anderer. Wie Orte gemessen werden.

Regionen

Ort	Google-Suchen in	Wikipedia-Aufrufe in	Gemessene Trends	Größter Anstieg über ein Jahr
Nördliches Amerika	Vereinigte Staaten, Kanada	Englisch 49 % · weak	250/250	Automatisierte KI-Forschung +273 % · Offene KI-Modelle +209 % · Integrität von Wahlen +155 %
Europa	Vereinigtes Königreich, Frankreich, Deutschland, Italien, Spanien, Niederlande, Polen, Schweden, Schweiz	Deutsch 95 %, Französisch 83 %, Italienisch 95 %, Polnisch 93 %, Niederländisch 89 %, Schwedisch 84 % · strong	249/250	Umgehung von Sanktionen +1127 % · Zivile Unruhen +220 % · Hybride Kriegführung +205 %
China	China	Wikipedia ist in Festlandchina gesperrt. Chinesischsprachige Aufrufe stammen überwiegend aus Taiwan, Hongkong, Singapur und von Chinesischsprachigen im Ausland.	44/250	KI-Antwortmaschinen +452 % · Bahn und öffentlicher Nahverkehr +275 % · Ausbau von Solar- und Windenergie +253 %
Indopazifik	Japan, Südkorea, Indonesien, Australien, Singapur, Taiwan, Vietnam, Thailand, Philippinen, Malaysia, Neuseeland	Japanisch 96 %, Chinesisch 59 %, Koreanisch 86 %, Indonesisch 87 %, Vietnamesisch, Thailändisch 87 %, Malaiisch 72 % · strong	247/250	Automatisierte KI-Forschung +163 % · Strategische Vorräte +130 % · Digitale Souveränität +124 %
Südasien	Indien, Pakistan, Bangladesch, Sri Lanka	Hindi 88 %, Bengalisch 49 %, Tamil 77 %, Urdu · strong	230/250	Industrielle Überkapazitäten +1143 % · Rüstungsindustrielle Kapazität +336 % · Kapitalkonzentration bei KI +253 %
Golfregion und Nahost	Saudi-Arabien, Türkei, Vereinigte Arabische Emirate, Ägypten, Israel, Katar	Persisch, Arabisch, Türkisch, Hebräisch 85 % · nach Sprache	212/250	Umschuldung von Staatsschulden +615 % · Unterseekabel und Pipelines +299 % · Netzstabilität und Schwarzstart +286 %
Afrika	Südafrika, Nigeria, Kenia, Marokko, Äthiopien, Ghana	Afrikaans, Suaheli · nach Sprache	94/250	Renten- und Pflegekosten +3692 % · Lücken der sozialen Sicherung +965 % · Politische Gewalt +328 %
Lateinamerika und Karibik	Brasilien, Mexiko, Argentinien, Kolumbien, Chile, Peru	Spanisch 55 %, Portugiesisch 76 % · fair	234/250	Kapitalkonzentration bei KI +605 % · Integrität von Wahlen +409 % · Durchsetzung des Einwanderungsrechts +185 %
Russland und Eurasien	Ukraine, Kasachstan, Usbekistan	Russisch, Ukrainisch 73 % · nach Sprache	211/250	Kraftstoffversorgung und Raffinerien +730 % · Bahn und öffentlicher Nahverkehr +230 % · Renten- und Pflegekosten +228 %

G20-Mitglieder

Ort	Google-Suchen in	Wikipedia-Aufrufe in	Gemessene Trends	Größter Anstieg über ein Jahr
Argentinien	Suchanfragen aus Argentinien	Nicht verwendet: Spanisch wird mit anderen Ländern geteilt (Mexiko)	95/250	Übergriffe der Exekutive +259 % · Netzstabilität und Schwarzstart +231 % · Rückgang ausländischer Investitionen +174 %
Australien	Suchanfragen aus Australien	Nicht verwendet: Englisch wird mit anderen Ländern geteilt (Kanada, Südafrika, Vereinigtes Königreich, Vereinigte Staaten)	169/250	Hybride Kriegführung +2474 % · Verbreitung von Elektrofahrzeugen +304 % · Kraftstoffversorgung und Raffinerien +230 %
Brasilien	Suchanfragen aus Brasilien	Portugiesisch 75 % · strong	213/250	Integrität von Wahlen +1586 % · Kapitalkonzentration bei KI +605 % · Lücken der sozialen Sicherung +558 %
Kanada	Suchanfragen aus Kanada	Nicht verwendet: Englisch wird mit anderen Ländern geteilt (Australien, Südafrika, Vereinigtes Königreich, Vereinigte Staaten)	195/250	Demokratischer Rückschritt +498 % · Hybride Kriegführung +459 % · Integrität von Wahlen +375 %
China	Suchanfragen aus China. Google ist in Festlandchina gesperrt, daher spiegelt diese Linie nur die wenigen wider, die es dennoch erreichen.	Wikipedia ist in Festlandchina gesperrt.	44/250	KI-Antwortmaschinen +452 % · Bahn und öffentlicher Nahverkehr +275 % · Ausbau von Solar- und Windenergie +253 %
Frankreich	Suchanfragen aus Frankreich	Französisch 71 % · fair	238/250	Zivile Unruhen +1057 % · Strategische Vorräte +387 % · Staatliche Cyberangriffe +253 %
Deutschland	Suchanfragen aus Deutschland	Deutsch 77 % · strong	243/250	Umgehung von Sanktionen +2115 % · Zivile Unruhen +245 % · Kommerzielle Raketenstarts +228 %
Indien	Suchanfragen aus Indien	Hindi 87 %, Bengalisch 49 %, Tamil 73 % · strong	229/250	Industrielle Überkapazitäten +1143 % · Rückgang des Bargelds +278 % · Kapitalkonzentration bei KI +253 %
Indonesien	Suchanfragen aus Indonesien	Indonesisch 82 % · strong	189/250	Belastung durch Luftverschmutzung +529 % · Digitale Souveränität +425 % · Lastenverschiebung in Bündnissen +327 %
Italien	Suchanfragen aus Italien	Italienisch 90 % · strong	216/250	Hybride Kriegführung +397 % · Kraftstoffversorgung und Raffinerien +240 % · Konsumenten in Schwellenländern +211 %
Japan	Suchanfragen aus Japan	Japanisch 95 % · strong	242/250	Automatisierte KI-Forschung +427 % · Fehl- und Desinformation +290 % · Schwächung des Multilateralismus +211 %
Südkorea	Suchanfragen aus Südkorea	Koreanisch 82 % · strong	208/250	Konsumenten in Schwellenländern +411 % · KI-geschriebene Software +192 % · Abhängigkeit von Rücküberweisungen +188 %
Mexiko	Suchanfragen aus Mexiko	Nicht verwendet: Spanisch wird mit anderen Ländern geteilt (Argentinien)	143/250	Biometrische Identifizierung +496 % · Lobbyismus und Vereinnahmung der Regulierung +234 % · Netzstabilität und Schwarzstart +203 %
Russland	Der Datenanbieter bedient Russland nicht.	Russisch · nach Sprache	200/250	Ausweitung digitaler Überwachung +191 % · Automatisierte KI-Forschung +113 % · KI-Antwortmaschinen +109 %
Saudi-Arabien	Suchanfragen aus Saudi-Arabien	Nicht verwendet: Arabisch wird geteilt mit	50/250	Umschuldung von Staatsschulden +3292 % · Terrorismus und gewaltbereiter Extremismus +1217 % · Wiederbelebung des Zivilschutzes +1194 %
Südafrika	Suchanfragen aus Südafrika	Nicht verwendet: Englisch wird mit anderen Ländern geteilt (Australien, Kanada, Vereinigtes Königreich, Vereinigte Staaten)	80/250	Süßwasserknappheit +473 % · Leistungsfähigkeit der Steuerverwaltung +406 % · Wasserstoff und saubere Kraftstoffe +255 %
Türkei	Suchanfragen aus der Türkei	Türkisch · nach Sprache	169/250	Verschwörungsdenken und Wissenschaftsleugnung +689 % · Abnehmende soziale Mobilität +431 % · Schrumpfender fiskalischer Spielraum +189 %
Vereinigtes Königreich	Suchanfragen aus dem Vereinigten Königreich	Nicht verwendet: Englisch wird mit anderen Ländern geteilt (Australien, Kanada, Südafrika, Vereinigte Staaten)	220/250	Hybride Kriegführung +431 % · Umgehung von Sanktionen +279 % · Religiöser und ethnischer Nationalismus +233 %
Vereinigte Staaten	Suchanfragen aus den Vereinigten Staaten	Englisch 44 % · weak	250/250	Automatisierte KI-Forschung +273 % · Offene KI-Modelle +195 % · Integrität von Wahlen +148 %

Der Prozentsatz neben einer Sprache ist der Anteil ihrer Leser, die sich am Ort befinden. Eine mit „nach Sprache“ gekennzeichnete Sprache wird nach ihrem Verbreitungsgebiet zugeordnet, da ein großer Teil ihrer Aufrufe Wikipedia über Netzwerke in anderen Ländern erreicht. „Gemessene Trends“ ist die Zahl der 250 Trends, nach denen am Ort ausreichend gesucht wird oder die dort ausreichend gelesen werden, um sie zu verfolgen.

Prototype · built 2026-11-07

What prediction markets expect of the 250 trends: for each, the market-implied chance that the force strengthens, how that chance is moving, and how much money is trading on it. Built from 2,326 questions on Polymarket, Kalshi and Manifold, mapped to the trends by three judges working blind; 189 of the 250 have a question and 103 have a reading this week (two or more live questions). Separate from the attention index, which looks back at what people read and searched.

The 250 trends of the 2027 list

250 shown. Click a column to sort; a dash means no reading (fewer than two live questions, or none mapped).

#
1	AI for science	Critical Technology	AI, compute & automation	7	17	80%	+5.0	+30.8	+42.6	40	34%	82	75
2	Open-weight AI models	Critical Technology	AI, compute & automation	4	48	80%	-28.4	+14.4	-13.9	65	51%	85	74
3	Economic coercion	Trade & Investment	Trade, supply chains & industrial policy	3	14	77%	-31.6	+7.4	—	239	71%	88	64
4	Stretched asset valuations	Financial Strength	Housing, wealth & cost of living	23	46	77%	-2.5	+4.8	+29.6	1,044	74%	64	72
5	Solar & wind expansion	Strategic Infrastructure	Energy transition & power systems	3	7	76%	+19.6	+8.1	+23.1	2	49%	94	79
6	Strategic stockpiles	Strategic Infrastructure	Trade, supply chains & industrial policy	5	16	73%	+38.2	—	—	127	26%	75	55
7	AI data centre build-out	Critical Technology	AI, compute & automation	34	46	73%	+14.4	+17.1	+12.7	16,399	69%	86	78
8	Geoeconomic fragmentation	Trade & Investment	Trade, supply chains & industrial policy	17	41	70%	+8.4	-9.9	+14.4	2,271	55%	89	83
9	Gene & cell therapies	Critical Technology	Health, biotech & humanitarian need	3	7	68%	-3.1	+25.5	+39.7	1	100%	72	56
10	AI chip supply	Critical Technology	AI, compute & automation	2	5	68%	+21.8	+38.9	—	3	80%	88	84
11	Cost of living squeeze	Financial Strength	Housing, wealth & cost of living	3	6	66%	+14.9	+14.3	—	13	100%	82	64
12	Agricultural productivity	Production & Innovation	Climate, water & land	5	6	63%	+12.0	—	—	228	100%	82	66
13	Ransomware & cyber extortion	National Security	Public finance, money & integrity	2	4	61%	—	+27.9	—	10	100%	91	60
14	Deindustrialisation pressure	Production & Innovation	Trade, supply chains & industrial policy	2	2	59%	+8.0	—	—	26	—	82	63
15	AI capital concentration	Financial Strength	AI, compute & automation	31	44	58%	-7.9	+1.8	+9.3	3,995	81%	85	68
16	Inflation persistence	Financial Strength	Public finance, money & integrity	77	134	57%	+3.9	+8.4	+45.8	28,322	39%	72	69
17	mRNA vaccine platforms	Critical Technology	Health, biotech & humanitarian need	9	15	57%	-3.8	-35.6	—	677	22%	72	58
18	Migration restriction	Human Capital	Demography, health systems & work	3	9	54%	-12.7	-12.8	-32.8	5	46%	85	66
19	Nuclear proliferation	National Security	Geopolitics, defence & deterrence	15	41	54%	+2.1	+10.0	+26.9	3,922	50%	56	79
20	Democratic backsliding	Governance & Integrity	Democracy, media & trust	7	16	53%	-1.9	-3.8	+11.3	111	55%	84	76
21	Household debt	Financial Strength	Housing, wealth & cost of living	3	7	51%	+17.2	+17.7	—	100	50%	83	56
22	Remittance dependence	Financial Strength	Public finance, money & integrity	2	2	51%	-3.1	—	—	3	—	90	52
23	Manufacturing reshoring	Production & Innovation	Trade, supply chains & industrial policy	7	7	50%	+7.8	+15.8	+7.8	127	—	72	60
24	Transnational organised crime	National Security	Public finance, money & integrity	6	6	49%	+0.4	-3.2	-9.5	83	—	87	62
25	Persistent armed conflict	National Security	Geopolitics, defence & deterrence	23	150	48%	+2.2	+4.7	+8.1	2,013	48%	86	78
26	Stablecoins & digital currencies	Financial Strength	Public finance, money & integrity	7	13	46%	-4.5	-16.2	+10.6	113	30%	82	61
27	Contested maritime access	National Security	Energy, food & commodity dependence	16	40	45%	+4.8	+31.6	+62.5	1,764	38%	85	70
28	Economic security policy	Trade & Investment	Trade, supply chains & industrial policy	11	19	45%	+2.3	+11.1	—	493	56%	90	66
29	Critical minerals supply	Trade & Investment	Trade, supply chains & industrial policy	4	17	45%	-19.5	—	—	213	57%	90	78
30	Export controls	Trade & Investment	Trade, supply chains & industrial policy	9	12	43%	-6.9	-5.1	—	347	35%	91	72
31	Industrial policy revival	Production & Innovation	Trade, supply chains & industrial policy	7	10	42%	+3.6	+6.2	-17.6	39	0%	87	72
32	Coal power persistence	Strategic Infrastructure	Energy transition & power systems	3	5	42%	+0.8	—	—	139	100%	80	60
33	Humanoid robots	Critical Technology	AI, compute & automation	14	28	41%	+3.2	+0.2	-12.7	559	7%	57	68
34	Construction productivity	Production & Innovation	Housing, wealth & cost of living	4	9	40%	-13.2	+3.4	—	40	40%	84	58
35	Electric vehicle adoption	Strategic Infrastructure	Energy transition & power systems	4	11	39%	-0.1	+3.4	-18.3	5	44%	89	70
36	Commercial property repricing	Financial Strength	Housing, wealth & cost of living	3	6	38%	+7.7	—	—	27	100%	78	48
37	Climate change & physical risk	Strategic Infrastructure	Climate, water & land	3	18	38%	-0.7	—	+4.9	1	11%	97	91
38	Fertility decline	Human Capital	Demography, health systems & work	6	14	38%	+3.7	+9.0	+12.8	50	47%	97	83
39	Fusion energy	Critical Technology	Energy transition & power systems	9	26	36%	+0.9	-0.8	+6.8	10	0%	32	52
40	Global South coalitions	Information & Influence	Geopolitics, defence & deterrence	3	9	36%	-0.2	-5.7	-31.3	61	34%	70	54
41	Housing affordability	Financial Strength	Housing, wealth & cost of living	16	30	36%	+14.5	+18.8	+6.7	620	36%	90	66
42	Autonomous vehicles	Production & Innovation	AI, compute & automation	6	27	35%	-1.2	+0.9	+0.1	22	19%	73	55
43	Child online safety	Information & Influence	Democracy, media & trust	9	11	34%	+2.5	-8.1	—	14	45%	85	45
44	Deepfakes & synthetic media	Information & Influence	Democracy, media & trust	7	48	34%	-2.8	-7.0	-30.0	3	34%	94	61
45	Sovereign debt burden	Financial Strength	Public finance, money & integrity	39	47	33%	-23.1	+2.0	+1.4	1,306	57%	94	81
46	Tariff escalation	Trade & Investment	Trade, supply chains & industrial policy	25	77	33%	-10.5	-0.7	-22.0	1,059	50%	85	75
47	Frontier AI capability	Critical Technology	AI, compute & automation	19	65	32%	+1.7	+5.2	+1.5	273	69%	88	93
48	Asset tokenisation	Financial Strength	Public finance, money & integrity	9	9	32%	-26.4	—	—	142	0%	71	47
49	Healthy life expectancy	Human Capital	Demography, health systems & work	3	5	31%	+0.8	+1.1	+4.1	1	—	84	58
50	Commodity price volatility	Trade & Investment	Energy, food & commodity dependence	28	91	30%	+6.4	+44.2	+3.0	5,904	52%	90	59
51	Sovereign bond market strain	Financial Strength	Public finance, money & integrity	61	76	29%	-22.3	+21.6	+11.2	2,455	30%	79	71
52	Executive overreach	Governance & Integrity	Democracy, media & trust	17	54	28%	-18.7	-22.3	-28.2	13,967	37%	83	63
53	Market concentration	Production & Innovation	AI, compute & automation	4	13	28%	-2.1	-7.0	-45.3	124	31%	86	63
54	Platform regulation	Information & Influence	Democracy, media & trust	6	27	27%	+0.5	-6.6	-23.5	5	58%	82	54
55	Wealth concentration	Financial Strength	Housing, wealth & cost of living	9	12	27%	-19.3	-22.9	-8.0	9,705	52%	87	60
56	LNG trade expansion	Trade & Investment	Energy, food & commodity dependence	2	2	26%	-9.4	-24.9	—	9	—	92	59
57	Data centre power demand	Strategic Infrastructure	AI, compute & automation	35	47	26%	+0.5	-10.6	+41.2	25,959	87%	87	62
58	Weakening multilateralism	Information & Influence	Geopolitics, defence & deterrence	8	13	24%	+1.6	-3.7	-7.4	116	27%	86	75
59	Populist politics	Governance & Integrity	Democracy, media & trust	9	22	24%	-6.1	+1.8	+24.1	7,413	79%	81	70
60	Gold reserve accumulation	Financial Strength	Public finance, money & integrity	21	37	21%	-16.2	-19.7	—	1,735	17%	86	47
61	Fiscal rules & credibility	Governance & Integrity	Public finance, money & integrity	14	75	20%	-2.1	-15.7	-40.0	154	40%	84	64
62	Skilled talent migration	Human Capital	Demography, health systems & work	2	3	19%	+0.2	-3.4	-0.4	2	—	88	62
63	Election integrity	Information & Influence	Democracy, media & trust	25	44	18%	-5.5	-1.1	-3.5	3,243	12%	82	67
64	AI agents	Critical Technology	AI, compute & automation	10	25	17%	-27.4	-25.2	-11.9	78	22%	81	82
65	Grid expansion bottlenecks	Strategic Infrastructure	Energy transition & power systems	2	2	17%	-4.6	—	—	418	—	89	75
66	Civil unrest	Governance & Integrity	Democracy, media & trust	3	25	17%	-11.9	—	-17.7	7,881	30%	85	58
67	AI job displacement	Human Capital	AI, compute & automation	12	24	17%	-2.9	-18.5	-16.4	48	0%	76	84
68	Political polarisation	Governance & Integrity	Democracy, media & trust	21	92	17%	-0.3	-7.7	-34.4	410	30%	87	70
69	Regional medicines manufacturing	Production & Innovation	Trade, supply chains & industrial policy	2	2	16%	-3.5	—	—	50	—	66	46
70	Great-power competition	National Security	Geopolitics, defence & deterrence	10	31	15%	-1.4	-3.4	-7.2	594	11%	93	91
71	Small modular reactors	Critical Technology	Energy transition & power systems	4	5	14%	-3.5	-10.8	-10.5	132	0%	58	57
72	AI regulation & safety	Governance & Integrity	AI, compute & automation	22	50	14%	+1.5	-11.1	-25.4	238	41%	76	64
73	Commercial space launch	Critical Technology	Cyber, space & critical networks	11	31	14%	-2.9	-13.4	-59.8	711	54%	87	60
74	Political violence	Governance & Integrity	Democracy, media & trust	3	32	13%	+0.7	-6.8	+41.4	36	35%	78	52
75	Shrinking fiscal space	Financial Strength	Public finance, money & integrity	46	89	13%	-1.6	-9.3	-20.4	2,129	28%	89	78
76	Rule of law	Governance & Integrity	Democracy, media & trust	6	12	13%	-4.1	-3.0	-12.8	205	13%	81	71
77	Pension & care costs	Financial Strength	Demography, health systems & work	3	4	13%	+2.9	+4.9	—	1	—	97	80
78	Fertiliser dependence	Trade & Investment	Energy, food & commodity dependence	2	2	13%	-0.1	-22.9	—	7	—	88	61
79	Social protection gaps	Governance & Integrity	Public finance, money & integrity	3	10	12%	-1.8	-4.7	-30.4	44	0%	83	60
80	Trade deals & regional agreements	Trade & Investment	Trade, supply chains & industrial policy	8	14	12%	-3.8	-16.6	-47.2	272	38%	81	57
81	Middle-power multi-alignment	Information & Influence	Geopolitics, defence & deterrence	12	17	12%	-1.8	-8.0	-21.8	751	11%	87	63
82	Automated AI research	Critical Technology	AI, compute & automation	8	13	11%	-4.0	-3.8	-8.7	44	0%	57	80
83	Undersea cables & pipelines	Strategic Infrastructure	Cyber, space & critical networks	2	5	11%	+44.6	+60.6	—	1,125	39%	90	66
84	Drone warfare	National Security	Geopolitics, defence & deterrence	3	9	11%	-1.3	-2.1	-6.8	14	21%	94	77
85	State cyber intrusion	National Security	Cyber, space & critical networks	2	10	11%	+0.3	+14.3	+6.0	8	29%	92	76
86	Hybrid warfare	National Security	Cyber, space & critical networks	4	9	10%	—	—	—	640	30%	89	65
87	Infectious disease threats	Human Capital	Health, biotech & humanitarian need	5	11	10%	-3.9	-4.3	—	1,279	13%	87	71
88	Fuel supply & refining	Strategic Infrastructure	Energy, food & commodity dependence	5	7	10%	-3.6	—	—	2,917	0%	82	57
89	Post-quantum cryptography	Critical Technology	Cyber, space & critical networks	4	9	9%	+0.3	+0.8	-13.1	19	0%	84	64
90	Central bank independence	Governance & Integrity	Public finance, money & integrity	10	13	9%	-2.9	-7.0	-5.1	89	0%	74	71
91	Lunar exploration race	Critical Technology	Cyber, space & critical networks	13	43	9%	-0.8	-0.8	+3.9	1,270	32%	74	40
92	Alliance burden-shifting	National Security	Geopolitics, defence & deterrence	6	20	9%	-0.3	-7.8	-7.4	73	58%	83	76
93	Quantum computing	Critical Technology	Cyber, space & critical networks	5	12	8%	-1.2	-0.5	-17.5	29	0%	52	62
94	Arms control erosion	National Security	Geopolitics, defence & deterrence	7	59	8%	-0.1	-0.9	+4.1	299	17%	88	64
95	Crypto-asset mainstreaming	Financial Strength	Public finance, money & integrity	10	32	8%	-1.4	-9.7	-30.9	294	64%	77	45
96	Nuclear arms race	National Security	Geopolitics, defence & deterrence	5	57	8%	-0.1	-0.2	+1.6	18	15%	86	71
97	Sovereign wealth funds	Trade & Investment	Trade, supply chains & industrial policy	3	4	7%	-3.3	-8.0	-10.0	23	0%	87	56
98	Weight-loss drugs	Production & Innovation	Demography, health systems & work	3	8	7%	-3.3	-3.8	-49.9	502	36%	89	59
99	Immigration enforcement	Governance & Integrity	Democracy, media & trust	7	22	6%	-0.1	-7.8	-33.7	158	67%	84	55
100	Conscription revival	National Security	Geopolitics, defence & deterrence	3	8	6%	-1.5	-2.1	—	492	47%	73	50
101	Population ageing	Human Capital	Demography, health systems & work	6	7	6%	-0.4	—	-15.7	1	—	99	90
102	Trade corridor competition	Trade & Investment	Geopolitics, defence & deterrence	2	3	5%	-0.1	-1.8	—	62	0%	82	55
103	Energy import dependence	Trade & Investment	Energy, food & commodity dependence	4	8	3%	-3.4	-1.5	-6.9	66	13%	87	68
104	Digital sovereignty	Critical Technology	AI, compute & automation	1	2	—	—	—	—	0	—	81	63
105	Advanced semiconductors	Critical Technology	Trade, supply chains & industrial policy	0	1	—	—	—	—	0	—	91	74
106	Synthetic biology	Critical Technology	Health, biotech & humanitarian need	0	1	—	—	—	—	0	—	72	63
107	Quantum sensing	Critical Technology	Cyber, space & critical networks	0	0	—	—	—	—	0	—	64	48
108	Cloud concentration risk	Critical Technology	AI, compute & automation	0	1	—	—	—	—	0	—	90	65
109	Frontier AI concentration	Critical Technology	AI, compute & automation	1	6	—	—	—	—	0	76%	80	74
110	Chipmaking tool chokepoints	Critical Technology	Trade, supply chains & industrial policy	1	3	—	—	—	—	0	100%	90	74
111	Orbital debris	Critical Technology	Cyber, space & critical networks	0	1	—	—	—	—	0	—	84	48
112	Precision medicine	Critical Technology	Health, biotech & humanitarian need	1	2	—	—	—	—	1	100%	79	55
113	Advanced materials	Critical Technology	Energy transition & power systems	0	1	—	—	—	—	0	0%	76	55
114	Brain-computer interfaces	Critical Technology	Democracy, media & trust	1	6	—	—	—	—	1	67%	54	36
115	AI inference efficiency	Critical Technology	AI, compute & automation	0	3	—	—	—	—	0	58%	90	68
116	Earth observation	Critical Technology	Climate, water & land	0	0	—	—	—	—	0	—	89	59
117	Biometric identification	Critical Technology	Democracy, media & trust	0	1	—	—	—	—	0	—	88	52
118	Biodiversity loss	Strategic Infrastructure	Climate, water & land	0	0	—	—	—	—	0	—	92	61
119	Electrification of heat & industry	Strategic Infrastructure	Energy transition & power systems	0	1	—	—	—	—	0	0%	77	64
120	Urbanisation & megacities	Strategic Infrastructure	Housing, wealth & cost of living	0	0	—	—	—	—	0	—	95	70
121	Soil degradation	Strategic Infrastructure	Climate, water & land	0	0	—	—	—	—	0	—	87	57
122	Transboundary water disputes	Strategic Infrastructure	Climate, water & land	1	1	—	—	—	—	1	—	77	54
123	Climate adaptation	Strategic Infrastructure	Climate, water & land	0	0	—	—	—	—	0	—	82	65
124	Freshwater scarcity	Strategic Infrastructure	Climate, water & land	1	1	—	—	—	—	1	—	92	72
125	Grid-scale storage	Strategic Infrastructure	Energy transition & power systems	0	0	—	—	—	—	0	—	91	69
126	Satellite navigation dependence	Strategic Infrastructure	Cyber, space & critical networks	0	0	—	—	—	—	0	—	91	63
127	5G & 6G networks	Strategic Infrastructure	Cyber, space & critical networks	0	0	—	—	—	—	0	—	86	54
128	Urban heat & cooling	Strategic Infrastructure	Climate, water & land	0	0	—	—	—	—	0	—	91	58
129	Ageing infrastructure	Strategic Infrastructure	Climate, water & land	0	1	—	—	—	—	0	100%	91	65
130	Satellite broadband	Strategic Infrastructure	Cyber, space & critical networks	0	1	—	—	—	—	0	100%	91	62
131	Sea level rise	Strategic Infrastructure	Climate, water & land	0	0	—	—	—	—	0	—	96	70
132	Distributed power	Strategic Infrastructure	Energy transition & power systems	0	1	—	—	—	—	0	0%	86	57
133	Early warning systems	Strategic Infrastructure	Climate, water & land	0	0	—	—	—	—	0	—	79	51
134	Grid stability & black start	Strategic Infrastructure	Energy transition & power systems	0	3	—	—	—	—	0	0%	81	64
135	Energy access gaps	Strategic Infrastructure	Energy transition & power systems	0	0	—	—	—	—	0	—	81	58
136	Telecom network resilience	Strategic Infrastructure	Cyber, space & critical networks	0	1	—	—	—	—	34	100%	82	57
137	Flood defence & dam safety	Strategic Infrastructure	Climate, water & land	0	0	—	—	—	—	0	—	84	55
138	Rail & mass transit	Strategic Infrastructure	Housing, wealth & cost of living	1	2	—	—	—	—	45	—	79	49
139	Rearmament & defence spending	National Security	Geopolitics, defence & deterrence	0	0	—	—	—	—	0	—	90	74
140	Biosecurity & dual-use biology	National Security	Health, biotech & humanitarian need	1	1	—	—	—	—	1	—	73	66
141	Arctic competition	National Security	Energy, food & commodity dependence	1	4	—	—	—	—	1	0%	81	45
142	Defence industrial capacity	National Security	Trade, supply chains & industrial policy	0	0	—	—	—	—	0	—	86	69
143	Military AI & autonomous weapons	National Security	AI, compute & automation	0	2	—	—	—	—	0	70%	87	72
144	Space militarisation	National Security	Cyber, space & critical networks	0	4	—	—	—	—	0	19%	88	63
145	Critical infrastructure protection	National Security	Cyber, space & critical networks	1	2	—	—	—	—	10	0%	89	67
146	Civil defence revival	National Security	Geopolitics, defence & deterrence	0	0	—	—	—	—	0	—	73	51
147	Online scam industry	National Security	Public finance, money & integrity	0	0	—	—	—	—	0	—	87	51
148	Missile proliferation & defence	National Security	Geopolitics, defence & deterrence	1	14	—	—	—	—	9	43%	89	70
149	Private military & proxy forces	National Security	Geopolitics, defence & deterrence	0	5	—	—	—	—	0	51%	83	53
150	Terrorism & violent extremism	National Security	Democracy, media & trust	1	8	—	—	—	—	0	0%	85	51
151	Espionage & counterintelligence	National Security	Cyber, space & critical networks	1	2	—	—	—	—	2	0%	91	57
152	Undersea warfare	National Security	Cyber, space & critical networks	0	1	—	—	—	—	0	100%	84	55
153	Workforce reskilling	Human Capital	AI, compute & automation	0	0	—	—	—	—	0	—	76	60
154	Social mobility decline	Human Capital	Housing, wealth & cost of living	1	1	—	—	—	—	0	—	82	62
155	Foundational learning deficits	Human Capital	AI, compute & automation	1	1	—	—	—	—	16	—	87	69
156	Chronic disease burden	Human Capital	Demography, health systems & work	0	2	—	—	—	—	0	—	92	71
157	Climate migration	Human Capital	Climate, water & land	0	0	—	—	—	—	0	—	85	62
158	Skilled labour shortages	Human Capital	Demography, health systems & work	0	0	—	—	—	—	0	—	89	67
159	Youth bulge	Human Capital	Public finance, money & integrity	0	0	—	—	—	—	0	—	96	70
160	Women's workforce participation	Human Capital	Demography, health systems & work	0	0	—	—	—	—	0	—	75	60
161	Air pollution burden	Human Capital	Energy transition & power systems	0	0	—	—	—	—	0	—	87	58
162	Informal employment	Human Capital	Public finance, money & integrity	0	0	—	—	—	—	0	—	89	60
163	Maternal & child health	Human Capital	Health, biotech & humanitarian need	0	1	—	—	—	—	0	0%	76	52
164	Youth unemployment	Human Capital	Public finance, money & integrity	1	1	—	—	—	—	13	—	85	63
165	Antimicrobial resistance	Human Capital	Health, biotech & humanitarian need	0	0	—	—	—	—	0	—	90	68
166	Forced displacement	Human Capital	Health, biotech & humanitarian need	0	3	—	—	—	—	0	0%	90	61
167	Care economy strain	Human Capital	Demography, health systems & work	0	0	—	—	—	—	0	—	93	65
168	Health system strain	Human Capital	Demography, health systems & work	1	1	—	—	—	—	47	0%	93	70
169	Mental ill-health	Human Capital	Democracy, media & trust	0	0	—	—	—	—	0	—	86	59
170	Child malnutrition	Human Capital	Health, biotech & humanitarian need	0	0	—	—	—	—	0	—	82	55
171	Loneliness & isolation	Human Capital	Democracy, media & trust	0	0	—	—	—	—	0	—	80	44
172	Drug overdose crisis	Human Capital	Public finance, money & integrity	0	0	—	—	—	—	0	—	73	45
173	Health workforce shortage	Human Capital	Demography, health systems & work	0	0	—	—	—	—	0	—	92	66
174	Misinformation & disinformation	Information & Influence	Democracy, media & trust	0	3	—	—	—	—	0	30%	90	67
175	Foreign information manipulation	Information & Influence	Democracy, media & trust	0	1	—	—	—	—	0	100%	90	60
176	Institutional trust decline	Information & Influence	Democracy, media & trust	0	1	—	—	—	—	0	0%	85	71
177	Technical standards competition	Information & Influence	Cyber, space & critical networks	0	0	—	—	—	—	0	—	85	58
178	Content provenance	Information & Influence	Democracy, media & trust	0	2	—	—	—	—	0	59%	64	45
179	Research security	Information & Influence	Demography, health systems & work	1	2	—	—	—	—	4	100%	85	59
180	Digital surveillance expansion	Information & Influence	Democracy, media & trust	0	3	—	—	—	—	0	100%	91	63
181	Independent journalism decline	Information & Influence	Democracy, media & trust	0	0	—	—	—	—	0	—	88	57
182	Internet censorship & shutdowns	Information & Influence	Democracy, media & trust	1	7	—	—	—	—	725	8%	86	55
183	Development finance as influence	Information & Influence	Geopolitics, defence & deterrence	1	3	—	—	—	—	3	0%	85	60
184	AI answer engines	Information & Influence	Democracy, media & trust	1	25	—	—	—	—	1	24%	90	66
185	Conspiracy & science denial	Information & Influence	Democracy, media & trust	0	0	—	—	—	—	0	—	81	57
186	Platform power	Information & Influence	Democracy, media & trust	0	1	—	—	—	—	0	0%	89	68
187	News influencers	Information & Influence	Democracy, media & trust	0	3	—	—	—	—	0	100%	90	48
188	Audience fragmentation	Information & Influence	Democracy, media & trust	0	1	—	—	—	—	0	100%	91	51
189	Commercial spyware	Information & Influence	Democracy, media & trust	0	0	—	—	—	—	0	—	85	42
190	AI companions	Information & Influence	Democracy, media & trust	0	0	—	—	—	—	0	—	84	42
191	International student flows	Information & Influence	Demography, health systems & work	0	1	—	—	—	—	0	100%	86	48
192	Religious & ethnic nationalism	Information & Influence	Democracy, media & trust	0	1	—	—	—	—	0	—	84	62
193	Humanitarian system strain	Information & Influence	Health, biotech & humanitarian need	1	6	—	—	—	—	3	35%	90	57
194	State capacity	Governance & Integrity	Public finance, money & integrity	0	11	—	—	—	—	0	70%	85	77
195	Carbon pricing	Governance & Integrity	Energy transition & power systems	1	4	—	—	—	—	0	64%	73	56
196	Corruption & state capture	Governance & Integrity	Public finance, money & integrity	0	0	—	—	—	—	0	—	89	68
197	Data protection	Governance & Integrity	Democracy, media & trust	0	3	—	—	—	—	0	25%	83	50
198	Digital public infrastructure	Governance & Integrity	Public finance, money & integrity	0	1	—	—	—	—	0	0%	85	64
199	Government AI adoption	Governance & Integrity	AI, compute & automation	0	0	—	—	—	—	0	—	84	67
200	Illicit finance	Governance & Integrity	Public finance, money & integrity	0	0	—	—	—	—	0	—	85	56
201	Lobbying & regulatory capture	Governance & Integrity	Housing, wealth & cost of living	1	2	—	—	—	—	9	0%	83	56
202	Local government strain	Governance & Integrity	Housing, wealth & cost of living	0	0	—	—	—	—	0	—	85	53
203	Deregulation drive	Governance & Integrity	Housing, wealth & cost of living	1	6	—	—	—	—	31	80%	77	56
204	Military rule resurgence	Governance & Integrity	Democracy, media & trust	1	8	—	—	—	—	32	25%	72	48
205	Tax administration capacity	Governance & Integrity	Public finance, money & integrity	0	0	—	—	—	—	0	—	83	61
206	Deliberative democracy	Governance & Integrity	Democracy, media & trust	0	0	—	—	—	—	0	—	58	34
207	Outsourced public delivery	Governance & Integrity	Public finance, money & integrity	0	0	—	—	—	—	0	—	85	51
208	Official statistics integrity	Governance & Integrity	Public finance, money & integrity	0	2	—	—	—	—	0	52%	78	55
209	De-dollarisation pressure	Financial Strength	Public finance, money & integrity	1	7	—	—	—	—	21	0%	75	69
210	Aid & climate finance retreat	Financial Strength	Health, biotech & humanitarian need	1	3	—	—	—	—	5	0%	89	62
211	Private credit growth	Financial Strength	Housing, wealth & cost of living	0	0	—	—	—	—	0	—	84	55
212	Sustainable finance retreat	Financial Strength	Energy transition & power systems	0	0	—	—	—	—	0	—	77	47
213	Capital flow volatility	Financial Strength	Public finance, money & integrity	1	1	—	—	—	—	1	—	87	60
214	Sovereign debt restructuring	Financial Strength	Public finance, money & integrity	0	0	—	—	—	—	0	—	82	54
215	Decline of cash	Financial Strength	Public finance, money & integrity	0	2	—	—	—	—	0	0%	93	51
216	Financial inclusion	Financial Strength	Public finance, money & integrity	0	0	—	—	—	—	0	—	85	53
217	Disaster risk finance	Financial Strength	Climate, water & land	0	0	—	—	—	—	0	—	75	45
218	Insurance retreat	Financial Strength	Climate, water & land	0	4	—	—	—	—	0	0%	88	61
219	Enterprise AI adoption	Production & Innovation	AI, compute & automation	0	13	—	—	—	—	50	17%	84	75
220	Manufacturing overcapacity	Production & Innovation	Trade, supply chains & industrial policy	0	1	—	—	—	—	0	100%	86	68
221	Factory automation	Production & Innovation	AI, compute & automation	1	3	—	—	—	—	7	0%	91	65
222	Battery manufacturing	Production & Innovation	Energy transition & power systems	0	2	—	—	—	—	0	—	93	71
223	Solar manufacturing	Production & Innovation	Trade, supply chains & industrial policy	0	2	—	—	—	—	0	0%	93	64
224	Alternative proteins	Production & Innovation	Health, biotech & humanitarian need	0	13	—	—	—	—	0	14%	49	37
225	R&D intensity	Production & Innovation	AI, compute & automation	1	3	—	—	—	—	2	0%	80	64
226	Deep-sea mining	Production & Innovation	Energy transition & power systems	0	0	—	—	—	—	0	—	50	39
227	Productivity slowdown	Production & Innovation	AI, compute & automation	0	0	—	—	—	—	0	—	78	76
228	Business dynamism	Production & Innovation	AI, compute & automation	0	1	—	—	—	—	0	0%	77	55
229	AI-written software	Production & Innovation	AI, compute & automation	1	20	—	—	—	—	1	24%	92	69
230	Carbon capture & removal	Production & Innovation	Energy transition & power systems	0	1	—	—	—	—	0	—	58	46
231	Hydrogen & clean fuels	Production & Innovation	Energy, food & commodity dependence	0	0	—	—	—	—	0	—	53	51
232	AI drug discovery	Production & Innovation	Health, biotech & humanitarian need	0	3	—	—	—	—	0	57%	74	60
233	Circular economy	Production & Innovation	Trade, supply chains & industrial policy	0	0	—	—	—	—	0	—	73	49
234	Ultra-processed food backlash	Production & Innovation	Demography, health systems & work	0	0	—	—	—	—	0	—	71	43
235	Drug pricing pressure	Production & Innovation	Trade, supply chains & industrial policy	0	0	—	—	—	—	0	—	85	50
236	Aquaculture growth	Production & Innovation	Climate, water & land	0	0	—	—	—	—	0	—	89	46
237	Supply chain resilience	Trade & Investment	Trade, supply chains & industrial policy	0	1	—	—	—	—	0	0%	78	59
238	Grain trade concentration	Trade & Investment	Energy, food & commodity dependence	0	1	—	—	—	—	0	100%	89	63
239	Shifting economic weight	Trade & Investment	Geopolitics, defence & deterrence	0	2	—	—	—	—	0	100%	93	78
240	Rare earth dependence	Trade & Investment	Trade, supply chains & industrial policy	0	2	—	—	—	—	0	0%	90	69
241	Nuclear fuel supply	Trade & Investment	Energy transition & power systems	0	0	—	—	—	—	0	—	83	50
242	Port & carrier concentration	Trade & Investment	Trade, supply chains & industrial policy	1	4	—	—	—	—	0	22%	88	53
243	Transshipment & origin rules	Trade & Investment	Trade, supply chains & industrial policy	0	0	—	—	—	—	0	—	84	47
244	Sanctions circumvention	Trade & Investment	Trade, supply chains & industrial policy	0	1	—	—	—	—	0	100%	89	55
245	Non-tariff barriers	Trade & Investment	Trade, supply chains & industrial policy	0	0	—	—	—	—	0	—	86	52
246	Carbon border adjustments	Trade & Investment	Energy transition & power systems	0	0	—	—	—	—	0	—	77	52
247	Foreign investment slowdown	Trade & Investment	Trade, supply chains & industrial policy	1	2	—	—	—	—	1	0%	83	60
248	Supplier concentration	Trade & Investment	Trade, supply chains & industrial policy	0	0	—	—	—	—	0	—	90	67
249	Emerging-market consumers	Trade & Investment	Geopolitics, defence & deterrence	0	1	—	—	—	—	0	0%	86	66
250	Pharmaceutical input concentration	Trade & Investment	Trade, supply chains & industrial policy	1	1	—	—	—	—	0	0%	90	57