Theme

Geopolitics, defence & deterrence

Rivalry between powers and the forces being built for it: rearmament, alliances, nuclear and missile competition, armed conflict, and the coalitions and influence contests of a multipolar order.

Share of attention worldwide: 14.8%; Over the last 52 weeks, against 12.6% the 52 weeks before. An even share would be 7.6%.
Rank among the themes: 2 of 12; By share of attention worldwide over the last 52 weeks.
Trends: 19 of 250; See them all

Regional Attention

Where the theme Geopolitics, defence & deterrence draws the most attention: its trends’ shares of all the attention there, added up, and its rank among the ten themes.

By region

Latin America & Caribbean

13.3%

11.2%

10.6%

8.1%

7.6%

7.0%

5.5%

4.0%

Share of attention in each place, and its rank among the themes there: the 10 highest of 11.

By bloc

17.5%

15.1%

13.7%

11.6%

10.9%

9.6%

8.7%

8.2%

7.9%

7.7%

Share of attention in each place, and its rank among the themes there: the 10 highest of 13.

By country

30.2%

22.1%

19.7%

19.6%

19.3%

12.6%

12.5%

12.2%

11.9%

11.6%

Share of attention in each place, and its rank among the themes there: the 10 highest of 49.

Share of attention over time

The share of all the attention the 250 trends draw that goes to the trends in Geopolitics, defence & deterrence, week by week, worldwide and in each region. Its even share, 7.6%, is the share it would have if every trend drew the same attention.

Share of attention to Geopolitics, defence & deterrence

A four-week rolling average, worldwide and in each region, against its even share. Select a place below to bring its line forward.

Top trends

The trends in Geopolitics, defence & deterrence drawing the most attention, rising or falling most, or moving most, in the place and period chosen.

All Trends

Global South coalitions: 20×; attention last 4 weeks; Index 1972· −4% WoW· Turbulent
Private military & proxy forces: 13×; attention last 4 weeks; Index 1322· +1% WoW· Shifting
Weakening multilateralism: 6.1×; attention last 4 weeks; Index 611· −20% WoW· Turbulent
Missile proliferation & defence: 4.6×; attention last 4 weeks; Index 458· −2% WoW· Turbulent
Conscription revival: 4.2×; attention last 4 weeks; Index 423· +2% WoW· Turbulent
Nuclear proliferation: 4.1×attention last 4 weeksIndex 406 · +10% WoW · Shifting
Drone warfare: 3.1×attention last 4 weeksIndex 306 · −3% WoW · Shifting
Civil defence revival: 1.6×attention last 4 weeksIndex 163 · +6% WoW · Shifting
Shifting economic weight: 1.1×attention last 4 weeksIndex 112 · +1% WoW · Stable

The trends with the highest attention intensity for trends in the Geopolitics, defence & deterrence theme only over the last 4 weeks. 1× is the typical trend.

The capability domains the trends in Geopolitics, defence & deterrence belong to, with how many of its trends are in each.

Scenarios

The scenarios the trends in Geopolitics, defence & deterrence bear on most: those with the most of its trends graded High or above.

All 19 trends in Geopolitics, defence & deterrence

Rank	Trend	Thematic	Intensity	Index	Change, WoW	Volatility
1	Global South coalitions Information & Influence	Geopolitics, defence & deterrence	20×	1,972	−4%	Turbulent±14%
2	Private military & proxy forces National Security	Geopolitics, defence & deterrence	13×	1,322	+1%	Shifting±4%
3	Weakening multilateralism Information & Influence	Geopolitics, defence & deterrence	6.1×	611	−20%	Turbulent±11%
4	Missile proliferation & defence National Security	Geopolitics, defence & deterrence	4.6×	458	−2%	Turbulent±6%
5	Conscription revival National Security	Geopolitics, defence & deterrence	4.2×	423	+2%	Turbulent±6%
6	Nuclear proliferation National Security	Geopolitics, defence & deterrence	4.1×	406	+10%	Shifting±4%
7	Drone warfare National Security	Geopolitics, defence & deterrence	3.1×	306	−3%	Shifting±4%
8	Civil defence revival National Security	Geopolitics, defence & deterrence	1.6×	163	+6%	Shifting±4%
9	Shifting economic weight Trade & Investment	Geopolitics, defence & deterrence	1.1×	112	+1%	Stable±2%
10	Nuclear arms race National Security	Geopolitics, defence & deterrence	1.0×	105	+6%	Shifting±5%
11	Middle-power multi-alignment Information & Influence	Geopolitics, defence & deterrence	1.0×	102	−1%	Stable±2%
12	Alliance burden-shifting National Security	Geopolitics, defence & deterrence	1.0×	100	−1%	Shifting±3%
13	Persistent armed conflict National Security	Geopolitics, defence & deterrence	0.72×	72	−2%	Turbulent±6%
14	Development finance as influence Information & Influence	Geopolitics, defence & deterrence	0.70×	70	−4%	Stable±3%
15	Great-power competition National Security	Geopolitics, defence & deterrence	0.69×	69	−1%	Turbulent±6%
16	Arms control erosion National Security	Geopolitics, defence & deterrence	0.63×	63	+3%	Shifting±4%
17	Trade corridor competition Trade & Investment	Geopolitics, defence & deterrence	0.44×	44	0%	Shifting±4%
18	Rearmament & defence spending National Security	Geopolitics, defence & deterrence	0.40×	40	+1%	Turbulent±5%
19	Emerging-market consumers Trade & Investment	Geopolitics, defence & deterrence	0.36×	36	−9%	Shifting±3%