Capability domain

National Security

National Security encompasses land, maritime, air, space, intelligence, cyber, and nuclear capabilities that together provide the armed forces, intelligence systems, and strategic deterrence necessary to safeguard sovereignty, project power, and respond to threats.

This domain in the National Capability Atlas

Share of attention worldwide: 14.0%; Over the last 52 weeks, against 12.5% the 52 weeks before. An even share would be 10.8%.
Rank among the domains: 3 of 9; By share of attention worldwide over the last 52 weeks.
Trends: 27 of 250; See them all

Regional Attention

Where National Security draws the most attention: its trends’ shares of all the attention there, added up, and its rank among the nine domains.

By region

Latin America & Caribbean

25.1%

12.6%

11.8%

11.2%

9.1%

8.7%

8.0%

7.9%

6.8%

Share of attention in each place, and its rank among the domains there: the 10 highest of 11.

By bloc

30.2%

20.1%

14.4%

12.4%

10.5%

10.0%

9.2%

8.8%

8.5%

Share of attention in each place, and its rank among the domains there: the 10 highest of 13.

By country

33.4%

33.0%

30.5%

26.8%

26.6%

25.9%

25.5%

24.1%

13.2%

13.0%

Share of attention in each place, and its rank among the domains there: the 10 highest of 49.

Share of attention over time

The share of all the attention the 250 trends draw that goes to the trends in National Security, week by week, worldwide and in each region. Its even share, 10.8%, is the share it would have if every trend drew the same attention.

Share of attention to National Security

A four-week rolling average, worldwide and in each region, against its even share. Select a place below to bring its line forward.

Top trends

The trends in National Security drawing the most attention, rising or falling most, or moving most, in the place and period chosen.

All Trends

Private military & proxy forces: 13×; attention last 4 weeks; Index 1322· +1% WoW· Shifting
Missile proliferation & defence: 4.6×; attention last 4 weeks; Index 458· −2% WoW· Turbulent
Conscription revival: 4.2×; attention last 4 weeks; Index 423· +2% WoW· Turbulent
Nuclear proliferation: 4.1×; attention last 4 weeks; Index 406· +10% WoW· Shifting
Drone warfare: 3.1×; attention last 4 weeks; Index 306· −3% WoW· Shifting
Online scam industry: 2.7×attention last 4 weeksIndex 267 · 0% WoW · Shifting
Biosecurity & dual-use biology: 2.0×attention last 4 weeksIndex 200 · −15% WoW · Turbulent
Transnational organised crime: 2.0×attention last 4 weeksIndex 197 · +1% WoW · Stable
Hybrid warfare: 1.9×attention last 4 weeksIndex 191 · +16% WoW · Turbulent

The trends with the highest attention intensity for National Security trends only over the last 4 weeks. 1× is the typical trend.

The themes the trends in National Security fall into, with how many of its trends are in each.

Scenarios

The scenarios the trends in National Security bear on most: those with the most of its trends graded High or above.

All 27 trends in National Security

Rank	Trend	Thematic	Intensity	Index	Change, WoW	Volatility
1	Private military & proxy forces National Security	Geopolitics, defence & deterrence	13×	1,322	+1%	Shifting±4%
2	Missile proliferation & defence National Security	Geopolitics, defence & deterrence	4.6×	458	−2%	Turbulent±6%
3	Conscription revival National Security	Geopolitics, defence & deterrence	4.2×	423	+2%	Turbulent±6%
4	Nuclear proliferation National Security	Geopolitics, defence & deterrence	4.1×	406	+10%	Shifting±4%
5	Drone warfare National Security	Geopolitics, defence & deterrence	3.1×	306	−3%	Shifting±4%
6	Online scam industry National Security	Public finance, money & integrity	2.7×	267	0%	Shifting±4%
7	Biosecurity & dual-use biology National Security	Health, biotech & humanitarian need	2.0×	200	−15%	Turbulent±6%
8	Transnational organised crime National Security	Public finance, money & integrity	2.0×	197	+1%	Stable±2%
9	Hybrid warfare National Security	Cyber, space & critical networks	1.9×	191	+16%	Turbulent±9%
10	Ransomware & cyber extortion National Security	Public finance, money & integrity	1.8×	185	−16%	Turbulent±20%
11	Terrorism & violent extremism National Security	Democracy, media & trust	1.8×	182	−1%	Stable±3%
12	Civil defence revival National Security	Geopolitics, defence & deterrence	1.6×	163	+6%	Shifting±4%
13	Space militarisation National Security	Cyber, space & critical networks	1.6×	160	−7%	Turbulent±11%
14	Undersea warfare National Security	Cyber, space & critical networks	1.6×	159	+3%	Turbulent±5%
15	Espionage & counterintelligence National Security	Cyber, space & critical networks	1.5×	149	−4%	Shifting±3%
16	Contested maritime access National Security	Energy, food & commodity dependence	1.1×	106	+1%	Turbulent±6%
17	Nuclear arms race National Security	Geopolitics, defence & deterrence	1.0×	105	+6%	Shifting±5%
18	Alliance burden-shifting National Security	Geopolitics, defence & deterrence	1.0×	100	−1%	Shifting±3%
19	State cyber intrusion National Security	Cyber, space & critical networks	0.79×	79	+10%	Shifting±4%
20	Persistent armed conflict National Security	Geopolitics, defence & deterrence	0.72×	72	−2%	Turbulent±6%
21	Great-power competition National Security	Geopolitics, defence & deterrence	0.69×	69	−1%	Turbulent±6%
22	Arms control erosion National Security	Geopolitics, defence & deterrence	0.63×	63	+3%	Shifting±4%
23	Military AI & autonomous weapons National Security	AI, compute & automation	0.58×	58	−7%	Stable±3%
24	Defence industrial capacity National Security	Trade, supply chains & industrial policy	0.54×	54	−8%	Shifting±4%
25	Critical infrastructure protection National Security	Cyber, space & critical networks	0.50×	50	+1%	Stable±2%
26	Rearmament & defence spending National Security	Geopolitics, defence & deterrence	0.40×	40	+1%	Turbulent±5%
27	Arctic competition National Security	Energy, food & commodity dependence	0.31×	31	−24%	Turbulent±11%